The Hot Shot comes into tonight (12/7) on the second half of a back-to-back and we have a huge thirteen-game slate. There are lots of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. Given the size of this slate, I highly suggest against running full three-man lines and instead recommend pivoting to two-skater pairings.
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12/7 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
San Jose Sharks (+240) at Detroit Red Wings (-298) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Buffalo Sabres (+220) at Boston Bruins (-270) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Toronto Maple Leafs (-135) at Ottawa Senators (+114) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Los Angeles Kings (-218) at Montreal Canadiens (+180) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Columbus Blue Jackets (+170) at New York Islanders (-205) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (-142) at Washington Capitals (+120) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Tampa Bay Lightning (-115) at Nashville Predators (-105) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Anaheim Ducks (-125) at Chicago Blackhawks (+105) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (+130) at Colorado Avalanche (-155) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Philadelphia Flyers (-102) at Arizona Coyotes (-118) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Minnesota Wild (+110) at Vancouver Canucks (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Carolina Hurricanes (-122) at Calgary Flames (+102) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
New Jersey Devils (-155) at Seattle Kraken (+130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
12/7 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Detroit One – “Dylan Larkin ($8,000), Lucas Raymond ($5,100)” – Two-Man Only
We can start with the obvious part; facing the San Jose Sharks. In most cases that is all that needs to be said regarding a line being both popular and in a good spot to score goals. Tonight, the Red Wings are the largest favorite on the slate at -298 in a projected 6.5 total matchup. There is a decision to be made between which of Detroit’s top two lines. After a full evaluation, I’m siding with the top line.
For the second line, Patrick Kane ($5,500) will be making his Red Wings debut. He will have the comfort of a former Blackhawk teammate of his, Alex DeBrincat. However, with both lines priced nearly equally, give me the top line which provides us with the team’s best player in Dylan Larkin ($8,000) who also fills one of our two center spots. For the pairing, it is suggested Lucas Raymond be added to complete the two-man line. Larkin has 24 points (ten goals, 14 assists) in 22 games this season and Raymond has 20 points (eight goals, 12 assists) in 24 games, so both are hovering around a point a game. With the plus matchup tonight, integrating them makes a lot of sense.
12/7 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Philadelphia One – “Sean Couturier ($5,400), Tyson Foerster ($3,600)” – Two-Man only
Unless your name is Jon Love, you probably haven’t seen much of the Philadelphia Flyers. At least in DFS articles or more specifically winning DFS articles. However, this line has been on fire as of late. They are second among all NHL lines over the last ten games in terms of SATF, one of the more important peripheral stats. Tonight, they are on the road in what is a near-pick ’em matchup with the Coyotes. You shouldn’t be going with any full lines tonight to begin with, but I would limit this one to a two-man even if it was a three-game slate as opposed to thirteen games. Sean Couturier comes in riding a three-game point streak and fills a center spot for $5,400. As for Tyson Foerster, he is beyond cheap at $3,600 and comes in on a three-game goal-scoring streak. For $3,000 less than Travis Konecny he also shares time with his linemates on the Flyer’s top power-play unit as well. The use of this two-man line in addition to the Detroit line listed above allows a lot of salary flexibility to fill out the rest of our lineups.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
Devon Toews – Colorado -$4,500 – Cale Makar is unlikely to place once again. You know what that means? Chalk Devon Toews night as people turn to Makar’s fill-in. In the last three games, he has seen a whopping 27 minutes of ice time in each. While he has not done much during that span, hopefully, tonight is the breakout.
Luke Hughes – New Jersey – $4,200 – Luke Hughes continues to quarterback the Devils top power-play unit. With Dougie Hamilton out he also sees some extra ice time as compared to earlier this season. Hughs is also still very affordable. When we see his pricing a year from now, it will be markedly different.
Goalies
Semyon Varlamov – New York Islanders – $8,200 – After a torrid start to the season, he has slowed down a little bit. However, he still boasts a strong 2.50 GAA and .927 SV % and should get the nod tonight after Ilya Sorokin was in the net Tuesday night. The Islanders are heavy home favorites at -205 in one of only three six projected totals of the thirteen games on this slate.
Sam Montembeault – Montreal – $7,100 – High risk, high reward. I think for $7,100 like most, I’ve played worse goalies. It’s a tough matchup but there should be plenty of upside based on shot volume. Sam Montembeault has been playing well coming into this, with three straight wins (four of his last five) and a stellar 2.66 GAA for the season.
12/7 NHL Best Bet
Dallas 60 Minute Line (+105) – DraftKings – Even on the back-to-back, you have to like the Stars here versus an inferior team.
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