Tonight, we have a relatively small four-game Wednesday slate. However, there are lots of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. The target strategy involves three pairs of two-man lines as listed below. Pricing is based on DraftKings pricing but in most instances applicable to FanDuel. Aside from reading this 12/6 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
12/6 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Dallas Stars (+100) at Florida Panthers (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (+110) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Vegas Golden Knights (-155) at St. Louis Blues (+130) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Carolina Hurricanes (+100) at Edmonton Oilers (-120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
12/6 NHL Favorite Popular Lines
Edmonton Two – “Leon Draisaitl ($7,900), Evander Kane ($5,900)” – Two-Man Only
Seeing Leon Draisaitl priced under $8,000 sort of seals the deal here. The idea is that we’re the beneficiaries of some positive regression that is bound to happen. Given his production this season, I think Evander Kane is a bit undervalued at $5,900. More likely than not, he will be very popular on this slate. After popping these two in your lineup you still have an average of $5,171 left per player and we can add a bit of salary to that by paying down at defensemen. Since they don’t share any power-play correlation, it makes sense not to take it any further than the two-man pairing.
Pittsburgh One – “Sidney Crosby ($7,500), Bryan Rust ($6,600)” – Two-Man Only
If looking for pivots off of this a two-man pairing of Sidney Crosby and Bryan Rust makes sense and is similar in price. Crosby had a big game with a goal and 5 shots on goal a week ago against tonight’s opponent, the Tampa Bay Lightning. They have certainly been productive this season, leading all NHL lines in SATF “in terms of recent form, they are 7th among lines over their last ten games”. I also don’t mind the idea of trying to pair them with Edmonton listed above.
12/6 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Carolina Two – “Andrei Svechnikov ($5,100), Jesperi Kotkaniemi ($4,400)” – Two-Man only
If you insert the two lines listed above, you probably need to fill things out with something a bit cheaper. I think we’re getting a very fair price here on these two. It is a good matchup with an Oilers team that can give up goals as much as they score them. I would prefer Teuvo Teravainen to Jesperi Kotkaniemi all else equal but the salary difference is needed here. Conversely if looking to free up an extra $200 for other spots, you can also turn to Teravainen over Andrei Svechnikov. I am sort of leaning on Svechnikov’s upside here as I think a breakout should be coming soon.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
Jalen Chatfield – Carolina -$2,600 – There’s just no money on this slate for anything but a punt. Jalen Chatfield has been seeing a bunch of added ice time at the expense of Tony DeAngelo. Considering he is only $100 over the minimum price, he helps us resolve part of our salary problem.
Goalies
Tristan Jarry – Pittsburgh – $7,400 – Given salary limitations at goalie as well, we will be swinging for the fences. Tristan Jarry has had a decent season but most notably is one week removed from a monster game against Tampa Bay “39.3 DraftKings points”. The Penguins are +110 road underdogs here in a matchup where the shot volume should be there.
Jordan Binnington – St. Louis – $7,200 – If dropping even lower salary-wise than Jarry, we can turn to Jordan Binnington. Similar to Jarry in the narrative listed just above, Binnington just faced his opponent “Vegas” on Monday night and put up 25.6 DraftKings points with a win. St. Louis is a +130 underdog but this isn’t David and Goliath and it is expected Binnington will face plenty of shots.
12/6 NHL Best Bet
Pittsburgh/Tampa Bay – O 6.5 (-110) – DraftKings – However it shakes out, this one is likely to get us to a seven total. Hopefully, it’s Pittsburgh One doing most of the damage.
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