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This article will focus on NHL Daily Fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings. Using advanced hockey metrics, slate analysis, and line by line evaluation, this article will point you towards what we think are the best plays for the night! Good luck!
Friday 11/12 NHL Breakdown
Hey everyone, and welcome back to another Friday Forecheck! Tonight, we will break down the five game NHL slate for you. It has a lot of big names on it, and some other interesting places to go, so let’s get right into it! Good luck!
Goalies
Jack Campbell – Toronto Maple Leafs: The Leafs have a home matchup tonight against the Calgary Flames, who have been firing off shots to the tune of 35.15 per game this year. This sets up Campbell to have some nice upside tonight, and as a favorite, that is what we like to see. He will likely give up a couple of goals, but the DK save bonus is squarely in play here.
Frederik Andersen – Carolina Hurricanes: Freddie is a heavy favorite at home against the Flyers tonight, and there is definitely some upside here as well. Philly has struggled a bit on the road from a scoring perspective, potting only 2.2 goals per game in their five road games. Carolina has some excellent puck possession numbers at home over their last five, so this should be a good spot for a Freddie win.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Carter Hart – Philadelphia Flyers: On the other side of the Carolina game, the Hurricanes shoot the puck a ton, and Hart has been on his game. This is a prime spot for a high shot volume upside, and if he can steal a win, that’s an even nicer bonus. Joonas Korpisalo can be considered here for a similar spot, but he carries even more risk.
Lines to Build Around
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Edmonton Oilers 1 – Connor McDavid/Zach Hyman/Jesse Puljujarvi/Tyson Barrie: Talk about opportunity…this line has a date tonight with the third line for the Buffalo Sabres. That third line is giving up a whopping 5.05 goals against per 60, 10.1 high danger chances against per 60, and 3.03 high danger goals against per 60 in a 59 minute sample size. This top line produces 17.05 high danger chances per 60 and 2.13 high danger goals per 60. This line has been one of the hottest in the league, and there is no way we are going to overlook them tonight. Consider adding Leon Draisaitl with Connor McDavid, as the two have been lethal this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 – Auston Matthews/Michael Bunting/William Nylander/Morgan Rielly: The Leafs have a nice home matchup tonight against the Calgary Flames, and if John Tavares is out, this line will need to be relied on for scoring. You can also consider a power play stack here, but the top line should see the depth lines for the Flames tonight in a good spot.
Washington Capitals 1 – Evgeny Kuznetsov/Alex Ovechkin/Tom Wilson/John Carlson: The Capitals tonight have a great matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets, and specifically, this top line against the second line. Columbus has been matching their top line to the opposing second line, and their second line to the opposing top line. That second line is allowing 16 high danger chances per 60, while this line produces 11.69. Keep in mind that this is a small sample, but the opportunity should be there for Ovi to continue to climb up the all-time scoring ranks tonight.
High Risk Lines
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Carolina Hurricanes 1 – Sebastian Aho/Andrei Svechnikov/Teuvo Teravainen/Tony DeAngelo: As mentioned above, the Canes have a nice looking home matchup tonight against the Flyers. This line should see a majority of the depth lines this evening, putting them in a nice upside matchup.
Calgary Flames 2 – Sean Monahan/Blake Coleman/Andrew Mangiapane: The Flames have a tough matchup tonight against the Leafs on the road, but this line is great for value. In a high event matchup, they should have some good opportunities and could go very overlooked tonight.
Philadelphia Flyers 2 – Derick Brassard/Oskar Lindblom/Cam Atkinson/Ivan Provorov: The Flyers second line has a date with the top six for Carolina tonight, and they have some decent upside. With Lindblom coming up to this line, Joel Farabee has been moved to the third line. Farabee still plays on the second power play, though, so he can be used in this stack if you want a slightly different look.
Honorable mentions: CBJ2, CHI1, BUF1, PHI1
Value Options – DraftKings
Center: Sean Monahan ($3000) – Calgary Flames – 3k flat for a second line center that also centers the top power play unit is a fantastic value, and Monahan can be used tonight for salary relief. It also helps that he is part of the CGY2 stack that we like.
Wing: Jakub Voracek ($3700) – Columbus Blue Jackets -Jake is a top line winger and also spends time on the power play, so $3700 is a good price for the potential.
Defense: Jake Bean ($2700) – Columbus Blue Jackets – Bean is a top pair D man who has been averaging around 22 minutes per game and generally fills up the fringe stats. The downside is that he does not play any time on the power play, but that price is nice for someone who can likely get you 2-3x value.
Value Options – FanDuel
Center: Derick Brassard ($3700) – Philadelphia Flyers – Brassard is a nice price on FanDuel tonight, and with the opportunity he has, it is a good spot to go if you need some value.
Wing: Gustav Nyquist ($3500) – Columbus Blue Jackets – The second line for the Jackets is a nice looking one, and for a measly $3500, you can definitely take a chance on Gus tonight.
Defense: Dmitry Orlov ($3600) – Washington Capitals – Orlov averages about 20 minutes per game and contributes in ways such as shots and shot blocking. If you can luck into an assist or goal from him, that’s even better.
Cash Considerations – DraftKings
Leon Draisaitl – C – Edmonton Oilers
Alex Ovechkin – W – Washington Capitals
Tyson Barrie – D – Edmonton Oilers
Frederik Andersen – G – Carolina Hurricanes
Cash Considerations – FanDuel
Leon Draisaitl – C – Edmonton Oilers
Alex Ovechkin – W – Washington Capitals
Tyson Barrie – D – Edmonton Oilers
Frederik Andersen – G – Carolina Hurricanes
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
