Friday 1/21 NHL Breakdown
Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck! Tonight, we get a big slate for a Friday, with 8 games. The goalie situation is interesting, and this should be a higher scoring slate. It feels like it might be a little tougher, but there are definitely good spots for us to look at tonight. Good luck!
Goalies
Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders: The Islanders host the lowly Coyotes tonight, and this should be the safest pick on the board as far as goalies are concerned. If you are looking for a cash goalie, this is it, as the GPP upside is likely going to be limited.
Frederik Andersen – Carolina Hurricanes: Andersen and the Canes host the Rangers tonight, who have been pretty bad on the road recently, putting up just 2.4 goals per game over their last five road games. Andersen had a little bit of a shaky couple of games recently, but he should be due for a positive night. Shot upside should be there, as will some risk. On a slate like tonight, the targets should be goalies we trust, and Andersen is one of them.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Alex Nedeljkovic: The Red Wings are hosting the Dallas Stars tonight who are on the back end of a traveling back to back. Dallas has also only scored 1.8 goals per game over their last five road games, making this an interesting spot to look at tonight. The shot volume should be decent, and there is a very real possibility for an upside win here tonight.
Lines to Build Around
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
New York Islanders Power Play – Matthew Barzal/Jean-Gabriel Pageau/Anders Lee/Oliver Wahlstrom/Noah Dobson: As mentioned above, the Isles are hosting the Coyotes tonight, and while they have shown some flashes of improvement lately, the Islanders should be able to shut them down. The Coyotes are bottom 5 when it comes to penalty killing, and they take a decent amount of penalties per game, so there should be ample opportunity for this unit to get on the board. Throw in the fact that Wedgewood should be in net for Arizona, and this is a fantastic play tonight.
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust/Kris Letang: The Penguins head to Columbus to face the Blue Jackets, who are giving up 4.8 goals against per game over their last five home games. On top of that, the Jackets just played an away game last night. This line should see the top line for most of the night, setting them up for possibly the best spot of the night.
Florida Panthers Power Play – Aleksander Barkov/Sam Reinhart/Jonathan Huberdeau/Anthony Duclair/Aaron Ekblad: This unit is in a fantastic spot as well, as they take on the Vancouver Canucks in Vancouver. The Canucks are starting a goalie who only has three NHL games under his belt, with a whopping 4.35 GAA in those three games back in 16-17. This unit should absolutely roll tonight, and they will be chalky. Barkov/Huberdeau/Ekblad is the trio you want from here if you only want 3.
High Risk Lines
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 – Anthony Cirell/Alex Killorn/Steven Stamkos: The Lightning head to Anaheim tonight for a matchup with the Ducks. At even strength, this line has a nice matchup, but Gibson is a solid goalie. That, plus the road matchup, is what makes them a higher risk play tonight.
Saint Louis Blues 3 – Robert Thomas/Brandon Saad/Jordan Kyrou/Justin Faulk: This line has been a fantastic value of late, and has a very nice matchup tonight against the Kraken. Seattle is looking like they will be rolling Joey Daccord in net tonight, who came over as a rookie from Ottawa in the expansion draft. His career GAA is 3.58, so STL is in a great spot tonight. Don’t ignore the power play unit for them either.
Chicago Blackhawks 2 – Jonathan Toews/Alex Debrincat/Dominik Kubalik: This is strictly a matchup based play, as this second line should see the likes of the top line for Minnesota tonight. This sets up a nice matchup that should afford them a bunch of opportunity.
Detroit Red Wings 2 – Pius Suter/Tyler Bertuzzi/Robby Fabbri/Moritz Seider: The Wings host the Stars tonight, and this second line has a really nice matchup against the second line for Dallas. Seider slots into the power play with Fabbri and Bertuzzi, so he is great for D man correlation. The Stars are on the back end of a traveling back to back, and giving up a whopping 4 goals against per game over their last five road games. This is a great low owned target tonight.
Honorable Mentions: TBL3, NYRPP, CBJ1, VAN1, CARPP, MINPP, STLPP
Value Options – DraftKings
Center: Pius Suter ($3600) – Detroit Red Wings
Wing: Josh Bailey ($3500) – New York Islanders
Defense: Radko Gudas ($2700) – Florida Panthers
Value Options – FanDuel
Center: Brayden Schenn ($4500) – St. Louis Blues
Wing: Dominik Kubalik ($4300) – Chicago Blackhawks
Defense: Robin Salo ($3600) – New York Islanders
Cash Considerations – DraftKings
Center: Aleksander Barkov – Florida Panthers
Wing: Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins
Defense: Moritz Seirder – Detroit Red Wings
Goalie: Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders
Cash Considerations – FanDuel
Center: Aleksander Barkov – Florida Panthers
Wing: Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins
Defense: Moritz Seirder – Detroit Red Wings
Goalie: Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders
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All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.