Phil Naessens 
NHL Betting Picks Saturday 2/26
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 2/26. We had one play yesterday (Kings/Wild Over 5.5 Goals) which looked great after a 3 goal first period, that ultimately had 1 goal scored the rest of the game. We look to get back in the positive today with a huge 14 game slate tonight, the biggest slate of the season so far.
We have three 1:00 games to start off, let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today:
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Dashboard Edges
- Flyers Puckline (-1.5, +188) over the Sabres
- Lightning Puckline (-1.5, +143) AND Moneyline (-182) over the Stars
- Islanders Puckline (-1.5, +210) over the Penguins
- Blackhawks Moneyline (-167) over the Red Wings
- Jets Moneyline (+102) over the Canadiens
- Golden Knights Moneyline (-200) over the Ducks
- Senators/Flames Under (6, -114)
Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies as always. With such a big slate it’s difficult to stay disciplined and not get carried away betting on every game. With 7 dashboard edges above too it’s hard not to see some value there as well.
My Picks
Free Picks
Flyers ML (-141): The Flyers essentially have everyone back from COVID playing a Buffalo team whose only wins in the month of February come against New Jersey. Even with Brian Elliot starting for the Flyers I still like this price here. An even bigger edge with the Flyers if Jack Eichel (game-time decision) doesn’t play.
Flames/Senators Under 6 Goals (-114): After a huge 6-1 outburst in their last meeting on Thursday, I expect a lower scoring affair today. Both teams are around 40% on their overs, with the Flames average total goals on the season at 5.34 (Ottawa is at 6.4). I like this 6 number so we push if it is exactly 6 goals.
Premium Pick
Golden Knights in Regulation (-125): Don’t want to overthink this one, Vegas is the significantly better team. They are 3-1 against the Ducks this season (2 wins in regulation, 1 in overtime). The Ducks are in shambles and probably the worst team in the West Division. Both teams have very solid goaltending but Vegas is an all around stronger team and should handle business tonight in 60 minutes.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr
I went live yesterday with Michael Rasile talking about how The Model works and the thought process behind my picks, check it out here!
Get all your Sports Betting Picks for the weekend and win some money!
