jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Thursday 5/6
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 5/6. The Model bounced back going 2-0 last night. The Golden Knights needed OT to finish the Wild with a nice Pietrangelo finisher. The Jets absolutely dominated the Flames winning 4-0, a nice momentum building win leading to playoffs. With the Habs losing to the Sens it is also setting up a Leafs-Habs first round matchup, which is what everyone wants. Also, that Rangers/Caps game was electric. 3 fights off the opening faceoff, 6 fights in the first period, Wilson with an ‘upper-body’ injury in the 2nd, Buchnevich cross-checking Mantha in the face. I mean look at the Caps box after the 6th fight.
This game had quite the playoff/revenge vibe and I loved every second of it. Playoffs are right around the corner let’s finish off this regular season strong.
We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Penguins Money Line (-345) and Puck Line (-1.5, -148) over the Sabres
- Hurricanes Money Line (-295) over the Blackhawks
- Bruins Money Line (-225) over the Rangers
- Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -139) over the Bruins
- Rangers/Bruins Under (5.5, -113)
- Islanders Money Line (-250) over the Devils
- Maple Leafs Money Line (-220) over the Canadiens
- Oilers Puck Line (-1.5, -118) and Money Line (-286) over the Canucks
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. Every single money line is -220 or greater for the favorites tonight. We are getting into that time of year with big discrepancies as teams who are eliminated are testing rookies and different lineups for next year, and resting players with nagging injuries. We look to the over/unders and puck lines to get some value tonight.
My Picks
Bruins -1.5 (+125): Finally a pick I absolutely love, which means it will definitely lose (kidding). The Rangers, who are eliminated from the playoffs already, had their Super Bowl last night and are probably emotionally exhausted. The Bruins want to keep winning to move up in the standings and maybe get home ice. When looking at the PL numbers the Rangers are good over the whole course of the season and the B’s are slightly above average. However over the last month it is reversed with the Rangers only +1.9u on the PL and the Bruins are +9u. I like getting this at plus money and we are riding heavy tonight.
Blackhawks +1.5 (+108): Chicago is trending downwards losing 2 straight matchups to Carolina by more than a goal. However throughout the course of the season they have done pretty well covering against Carolina. With Chicago rotating goalies lately it is a bit of a risk to take this without that being confirmed, but we should get Lankinen in net tonight. The Canes are 43% covering -1.5 and the Blackhawks are 58% covering +1.5, which would suggest a better than 50% chance the Blackhawks cover. With that probability and getting the +1.5 at plus money, we have to ride with this tonight.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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