jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/12
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/12. This will be the last regular season article as we shift gears towards the playoffs. There will be a Playoff Preview article coming out on Friday before the first series begins Saturday. The Model went 1-1 last night with craziness happening in that Caps/Bruins game. In the morning I took the over 5.5 because that seemed like good value. Then this news came out:
So I quickly went to hammer the Caps because the ML at the time was -130. I instantly hated the over and hedged it out with the under. The Caps ML climbed all the way up to -210 giving me over a 10% CLV. And then the game took place and there was absolutely nothing going on. The B’s scored first and the Caps tied it. Then with a second left the Caps finished the game off and barely won 2-1. Quite the roller coaster of emotions. On to today, I doubt anything can top that.
We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
To interact with the dashboard click here.
Dashboard Edges
- Oilers Money Line (-127) over the Canadiens
- Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -175) over the Maple Leafs
- Senators/Leafs Under 6.5 (-110)
- Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +170) and Money Line (-143) over the Blues
- Golden Knights Money Line (-200) over the Sharks
- Avalanche Money Line (-360) over the Kings
- Kings Puck Line (+1.5, +123) over the Avalanche
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. And also keep an eye out for players resting and playoff implications for these games. The Avs need to win out to get the top seed and the Kings have literally nothing to play for. The Oilers and Canadiens both have their seeding locked in, but Edmonton getting more points can give them an advantageous matchup if they make it out of their division.
My Picks
Senators/Maple Leafs Under 6.5 (-110): These teams have actually hit their overs against each other a decent amount going 5-3. However both teams have good under trends throughout the season and in the last month. Both teams are under 40% over win percentage in the last month and under 41% for the whole season. It is Andersen’s first NHL start in a couple months which slightly scares me, but he also might play well given he needs to earn his playoff spot. At that 6.5 number I like the under here.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!
