jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/10
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/10. The Model took a day off with only 2 games on deck yesterday. We are embarking on the end of the season so it is important to study and understand what each team has left to play for and which players are resting for playoffs/next season. The lines should have that baked in but you should also be aware before betting on teams that normally you would think is good value but might have reason why that wouldn’t be good value.
We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
To interact with the dashboard click here.
Dashboard Edges
- Panthers Money Line (-115) over the Lightning
- Islanders/Bruins Under (5.5, -143)
- Oilers Money Line (-110) and Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Canadiens
- Flyers/Devils Over (6.5, -105)
- Hurricanes/Predators Under (5.5, -117)
- Blackhawks Money Line (+120) over the Stars
- Jets Puck Line (-1.5, +132) over the Canucks
- Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5, +235) over the Avalanche
- Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Blues
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. Games like Carolina/Nashville and Edmonton/Montreal could be interesting and they have a decent chance of facing each other in the first round and might not want to give away all their secrets in a meaningless regular season game tonight right before the playoffs begin.
My Picks
Canadiens ML (+100): The Canadiens still have something to play for as they haven’t officially clinched yet and can still get as high as 3rd depending on how Winnipeg finishes the season. The Oilers on the other hand are locked into 2nd place and have nothing to play for. McDavid already hit 100 points so they might rest top players for playoffs. Even if they don’t rest those players they might not be going full throttle. At plus money and with the Habs being home I like this value a lot.
Bruins -1.5 (+160): Both of these teams have something to play for as there is 1 point separating them from 3rd and 4th in the division with Boston at 71 points and NYI at 70 (Boston has 1 game in hand). The Isles have been reeling of late and the Bruins have been dominating. Over the last month the Bruins are +9u on the puck line and the Isles are -6.5u. The Bruins also cover around 40% of games where they are favored. Based on these trends and the value on the puck line we like the Bruins covering tonight.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!
