jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/3
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/3. Another 2-1 night, with the biggest surprise coming in that Sabres/Rangers Under. Four goals in the first period made me think that was a lost cause, only to have one more goal scored the rest of the game and hit the under. The Penguins pumped the Flyers, it happens. And then the Jets did exactly what I thought and took care of business with another poor night from Braden Holtby.
We have 6 games on the slate today, lets take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing tonight.
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Dashboard Edges
- Capitals Puck Line (+1.5, -225) over the Bruins
- Maple Leafs Money Line (-112) over the Oilers
- Ducks Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Blues
- Blues Money Line (-150) over the Ducks
- Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -275) over the Coyotes
Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies today. The Leafs get back beauty Auston Matthews and goaltender Frederik Andersen, although they haven’t needed them lately beating the Oilers by a combined score of 7-0 in their past two games.
My Picks
Free Picks
Wild ML +129: These two teams played on Monday with Vegas scoring three unanswered goals to win in OT. Vegas has not looked great as of late and think the books are slightly overvaluing them. The Model shows this at about a 50/50 game which means we are getting decent value on Minnesota.
Avalanche in Regulation -130: The Avalanche are the significantly better team and they just got pumped by the Sharks 6-2 on Monday. This is a clear bounce back game for the Avs, even with a couple injuries on defense, and I like them to take care of business in regulation as there is no value on the money line.
Premium Picks
Blues/Ducks Under 5.5 Goals -114: This game went over on Monday (5-4, 9 total goals) and we played it mostly due to St. Louis’ backup goalie Ville Husso who didn’t let us down allowing 4 goals. Tonight St. Louis is going back with Jordan Binnington. Anaheim hits less than 40% of their overs and average only 4.88 total goals per game (goals for plus goals against). They specifically struggle on offense only scoring 2.01 goals/game. This looks like a good bounce back spot for the under.
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