jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/23
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/23. The Model returned with an 0-2 night thanks to Minnesota just squeaking out a 2-1 win and not covering the puck line, and the Flames with a surprise loss to Ottawa 2-1. That’s a game Calgary needs to win and half the reason they made the coaching change was to ensure that. Will be interesting to see if they punt on the season and sell at the trade deadline. Our premium pick (Edmonton ML) had their game cancelled so we weren’t even afforded the opportunity to rebound. Whatever, we bounce back today.
We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Lightning Money Line (-155) and Puck Line (-1.5, -180) over the Stars
- Panthers Money Line (-148) over the Blackhawks
- Avalanche Money Line (-225) over the Coyotes
- Predators/Red Wings Under Goals (5.5, +100)
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.
My Picks
Free Picks
Devils ML (+140): I don’t love taking my team however the numbers are forcing our hand tonight. Carter Hart has been quite frankly terrible this season with a league low -21.28 (!!) Goals Saved Above Expected per Evolving-Hockey. The Devils are also very solid on the road +5.8u on the money line while the Flyers are -2.5u at home. Love the opportunity to win financially and emotionally too. Let’s ride.
Panthers/Blackhawks Under 6.5 (-110): This 6.5 number seems quite high for 2 teams that are both hitting their overs around 50%. Both of these teams average 6.03 goals/game and both have their strongest goaltending options in net (Driedger and Lankinen). The over is 3-1 when these teams have squared off this season and the only time it didn’t hit was when they scored 6 total goals. Look for a regression tonight and an under hit.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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