jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2. A solid 2-1 night with the Canes hanging on to win in OT and the Blues/Ducks putting up a bunch of goals just how we chalked it up. The Jets laid an egg but the Canucks also had all of the bounces go their way, according to their beat writer Thomas Drance of The Athletic.
It happens, and they play again tonight so maybe we just ride them again today. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Flyers/Penguins Over 6.5 Goals (+102)
- Flyers Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Penguins
- Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +175) over the Sabres
- Jets Money Line (-139) over the Canucks
- Canes Money Line (-125) over the Predators
- Lightning Money Line (-165) AND Puck Line (-1.5, +163) over the Stars
Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies. This is an obvious spot for the Canadiens to shred into the Senators coming off a big win last night against the Flames. However I unfortunately have ruled out betting on the Canadiens for the remainder of the season since they have burned me one too many times. But I do like them tonight (especially in regulation), I just can’t take them.
My Picks
Free Picks
Flyers ML (-106): Sidney Crosby has been ruled out tonight so I grabbed this price as soon as the news broke. The line has adjusted accordingly to -120ish on most books, which I still don’t hate that price. No goaltending advantage for either side as Hart and Jarry have underperformed a little bit this season but both were very solid last season. The Flyers are finally healthy and should have a decent advantage over the Crosby-less Penguins tonight.
Rangers/Sabres Under 5.5 Goals (-108): Gross. An under. The Sabres and the Rangers are 3rd and 4th to last in the League in total goals/game (5.00 and 5.19 respectively). The Sabres also have struggled mightily at 5v5 on generating scoring chances. My only area of concern is that the Sabres have a pretty lethal PP and the Rangers spend the second most time on the PK in the League/game (6.3 minutes). We’re hoping the Rangers stay disciplined and King Igor shuts down this weak Sabres offense.
Premium Pick
Jets ML -127: We’re doing it again tonight. The Jets were flat last night and the Canucks had 3 lucky goals in my opinion. I think the Jets come out strong tonight and try to split this back-to-back. Both backups tonight in goal. In 4 games this season, backup goalie for the Jets Laurent Brossoit has played surprisingly well and Canucks goalie Braden Holtby has not. This is a great bounce back spot for the Jets and I like it tonight.
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