jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Friday 2/26
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Friday 2/26. A 1-1 night with our underdog Winnipeg Jets climbing out of a 3-1 hole to score 5 unanswered in a 6-3 win against the Montreal Canadiens. A FIFTH straight profitable night for The Model, let’s see if we can get to 6 in a row.
Only 3 games on the slate today let’s take a look at the profitability and over win percentage for the teams playing tonight:
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Dashboard Edges
- Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -186) over the Bruins
- Bruins Money Line (-165) over the Rangers
- Kings/Wild Over 5.5 Goals (-103)
Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies before placing your bets. A weak slate with pretty solid pricing from the books makes me not want to touch any money lines tonight, therefore my pick will be on an over/under.
My Pick:
Kings/Wild Over 5.5 Goals (-103): The Kings have been one of the luckiest teams in the past couple of weeks and sport a 5-game winning streak. They currently have the 3rd highest High Danger Save Percentage, a number that is not sustainable for a team like the Kings. They are 30th in Expected Goals For% and High Danger Chances For. The Wild are coming off a 6 goal effort against an elite team in the Avalanche and generate the 2nd most High Danger Chances For. With the total being only 5.5 and getting almost even odds, I think we are getting good value here. The Kings goaltending will regress to the mean as will their offense, but with both teams hitting over 50% of their overs we are taking it tonight.
Let’s go for 6 straight nights of profit!
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr
Interested in NHL DFS? Read NHL Hot Shot for a good breakdown of each game and win some money!
