jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/22
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/22. The Model had just one play last night and it barely lost. The under was looking great all game. 1 goal in the 1st, 2 goals in the 2nd, and then the 3rd period screwed us. 4 goals including a couple of late Edmonton goals who ended up losing 4-3 and having us not hit that under. That happens, it’s hockey, we are on to Thursday.
We have 10 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
To interact with the dashboard click here.
Dashboard Edges
- Jets Money Line (+118) and Puck Line (+1.5, -225) over the Maple Leafs
- Lightning Money Line (-278) over the Blue Jackets
- Penguins Money Line (-295) over the Devils
- Bruins Money Line (-305) over the Sabres
- Rangers Puck Line (-1.5,+148) over the Flyers
- Red Wings Money Line (+155) over the Stars
- Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -200) over the Canucks
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. I never take more than -200 lines ever but I see quite an edge on the Jets Puck Line (+1.5, -225) for people that want as close to a sure thing as possible. The Leafs are reeling and horrible at covering -1.5 while the Jets are really good at covering +1.5.
My Picks
Rangers -1.5 (+158): A bit of a value play here. The Rangers were humbled in their last game by the Islanders after going on a 4 game domination of the Devils. The Flyers are coming off back-to-back losses to the Isles and Caps, but haven’t played since Sunday. The Rangers have the puck line edge significantly here, winning over half of their -1.5 games this year (55.6%). The Flyers are not good at covering +1.5 either (61.9%, 21st in the League). I like the Rangers to continue their dominance in this spot and cover the puck line.
Avalanche ML (-150): This is a little risky but teams coming off COVID breaks for whatever reason have done pretty well. The Avs are rarely ever priced this low, a combination of COVID and no Grubauer or Rantanen definitely plays into that. Dubnyk has not been a good goalie for the last couple of years but he also hasn’t played in front of a defense as good as the Avs. I look for MacKinnon and Makar to run the show tonight and sneak out a win against a disappointing St. Louis team tonight.
Capitals/Islanders Over 5.5 (-110): The Islanders are dragging this line down although I didn’t think we’d get it at 5.5 for such little juice. The Caps are averaging the highest total goals/game in the league (6.61) and second highest over win percentage (60.9%). And while the Isles sport one of the lowest total goals/game (5.20) they have been able to put up some goals (2.89 GF/game). The Caps score a lot but also give up more than 3 goals/game. At this number we really like this play a lot.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!
