jamie calkins 
NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/12
Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/12. The Model had yet another undefeated night going 2-0. The Capitals absolutely trounced the Bruins 8-1 and then the Isles bailed us out in OT to win 3-2 and cash both of those money lines. It is Trade Deadline day and the deals are flowing! Hall, Foligno, Rittich, Riley, and more to come as the day progresses. Can have an impact on games tonight with players not available because of these trades. The Model will obviously take that into effect so no need to fear.
We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.
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Dashboard Edges
- Maple Leafs Money Line (-141) over the Canadiens
- Jets Money Line (-182) over the Senators
- Hurricanes Money Line (-375) over the Red Wings
- Red Wings/Hurricanes Under 5.5 (-113)
- Blackhawks Puck Line (-1.5, +210) and Money Line (-122) over the Blue Jackets
- Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +180) and Money Line (-141) over the Blues
- Golden Knights Money Line (-190) over the Kings
- Sharks Money Line (-190) over the Ducks
Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.
My Picks
Free Picks
Maple Leafs ML (-135): The Leafs are the class of the division. They are on a 6 game win streak and have gotten at least a point in 10 straight. Jack Campbell has yet to lose with Toronto. All of this points to Toronto possibly dropping a game tonight as they can’t keep winning right? However I am riding with the Leafs. This line shows Vegas slightly pricing the regression as The Model has the Leafs at -147. The Leafs hold a signficiant special teams edge and are +5.5u on the road with the Canadiens -4.8u at home. Let’s keep the streak buzzing and ride with the Leafs tonight.
Coyotes/Avalanche Over 5.5 (-120): Finally taking an over and not an under so we can root for some goals. These teams have been lighting the lamp against each other frequently hitting the over in their last 3 meetings and 4 of 7 this year. The Coyotes are playing Prosvetov in net and the Avs should have no problem getting a few by him tonight.
Premium Pick
Jets -1.5 (+135): The Jets have the highest puck line profit on the board tonight at +8.2u overall (+7u on the road). Out of 6 matchups this season the Jets have covered the puck line 3 times. The Sens are trading a couple important players during the deadline today which makes me like this even more. The Jets are also 6-6 (50% rate) hitting the puck line as a favorite this season which is tied for highest rate for teams over 10 games as a favorite. Hellebuyck is in net and we are riding the puck line tonight.
Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight
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