Jared Contestabile 
For our next showdown slate, we have the Bills and the Packers. Both teams were considered Super Bowl contenders coming into 2022, and one has looked like it. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers may just be smoking ayahuasca weekly. This team is an absolute mess right now, and this matchup certainly doesn’t inspire any confidence. The Bills are a monster favorite of around 10 points in this one, with a total hovering around 47 points. Let’s get ourselves in a good spot to cash in on the Sunday Night showdown slate!
DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.
Captain/MVP Plays
Josh Allen, Bills ($18,300 DraftKings, $17,500 FanDuel)
How can we start an article including the Bills on a showdown slate without Allen being the first target? While him being the best real-life QB in the NFL is very much up for debate, he is clearly the top fantasy QB once again.
Allen is averaging 31.8 DraftKings points per contest, and the matchup couldn’t be more irrelevant. The Packers actually have allowed the 6th-least fantasy points to opposing QBs. This is a showdown slate, and Allen is the best player on the field. His WORST performance in 2022 is 24.58 DraftKings points. No analysis necessary. Allen is a borderline must-play as always.
Aaron Jones, Packers ($15,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)
I have little interest in paying for Aaron Rodgers in this one…I will be prioritizing Allen across the board. That said, while the Packers offense struggled last week, Jones thrived. He hauled in nine of 10 targets last week, and managed 28.6 DraftKings points despite only rushing for 23 yards.
His floor/ceiling combo is amplified by game script, and if Vegas is even close on this one, the Pack will be playing from behind. We all know Davante Adams is long gone, and now Allen Lazard is on the shelf. Jones is the only offensive player in this offense I feel you can truly trust.
Jones saw a season-high 74% of snaps last week against Washington, and his involvement in this offense is absolutely key. The Bills are #5 in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing RB. I’m banking more on Jones’ involvement in the passing game than the running game here. The Packers are in complete shambles offensively.
Gabe Davis, Bills ($12,600 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)
Listen, Stefon Diggs could absolutely post a monster game here. He will have to deal with Jaire Alexander for much of the game, which is far from ideal. I still believe that he will produce here, but it may be hard to pay off his salary. I’ll be pivoting to Davis for the most part.
He has been a revelation for the Bills dating back to last season, and has made the most of his targets. Over the last two weeks, he has turned 12 targets into 6/145/3. The Packers allow the 7th-least fantasy points per game to opposing WR. That said, the Bills are one of, if not THE best passing attack in the NFL.
Davis will undoubtedly see some shots down the field from Allen. He will be a feature in many of my lineups on the Sunday showdown slate.
FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays
Devin Singletary, Bills ($7,200 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)
Singletary has quietly become a very reliable part of this Bills’ offense. He has played on 86%+ of snaps in two of the last three weeks, and has found some success. His upside is certainly capped by the threat of Josh Allen taking goal-line work, but volume should be on his side here.
Singletary had 21 touches last week against Kansas City. While that is his only time this season with 20+ touches, the volume potential is there. I expect the Bills to roll in this one, which would likely lead to Singletary seeing additional work. Fire him up!
Romeo Doubs, Packers ($4,000 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)
DraftKings has priced Doubs for this game like he doesn’t exist. Well, if you rostered him last week, he essentially didn’t exist. He turned four targets into zero catches for zero yards. He still played on 89% of the snaps, and with Allen Lazard now OUT for the forseeable future, the time is now.
Doubs showed his upside early in the season, with one two-game span seeing him total 13/130/2. In his last three games? 7/50 on EIGHTEEN targets. His floor is embarrassingly low, but he is almost a free square on DraftKings. The Packers will almost certainly be playing from behind, and SOMEONE has to step up. I won’t go there too often on FanDuel, but on DK he seems like a lock and load.
Sammy Watkins, Packers ($2,600 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
Have I mentioned enough times that I think the Pack will be playing from behind? Watkins returned from a lengthy absence last week, and put up a 2/36 line on four targets. While those numbers impress nobody on the planet, volume is KING! Christian Watson is also questionable for this one, and with Lazard out, Watkins is another default option.
On DraftKings, I’ll be loading up on him and Doubs with Allen and stacking just about anyone I want. Low risk/high reward in this one.
Other Options
Aaron Rodgers needs to be considered in this one, despite the tough matchup. He could throw 40+ times in this one, and despite his recent struggles, you will want some shares in a pass-heavy game script. I’m not prioritizing him, but I certainly wouldn’t fade him here.
Khalil Skakir has certainly closed the gap on Isiah McKenzie, and I’m all over him for cheap in this matchup. McKenzie is a decent option, but I expect him to be higher owned in this one. Gimme Shakir.
Neither Tyler Bass or Mason Crosby has seen a ton of opportunities in the kicking game this season. Regardless, I’ll be considering them, especially on DraftKings.
AJ Dillon has double-digit carries in five of seven games this season. He is coming off his worst game of the season, but should be in your player pool for this one.
If the Bills turn this one into a blowout, James Cook could see some extra run. 15 of his 19 carries this season have come in blowout wins over the Titans (41-7) and Steelers (38-3). If you believe the Bills roll in this one, give him a look for very cheap.
Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.
Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!
