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NFL Week 18 Saturday Slate

Welcome to the last regular season Saturday slate for the NFL season. Both games on the slate have playoff implications so expect the three teams fighting for a playoff spot to treat this game as a do-or-die situation. 

The purpose of this article is to break down the best plays both on the DFS and betting sides. The article will include my favorite plays and honorable mentions for every DFS position. You can also find my favorite bets under Drago’s Best Bets section at the end of the article.

Before we get to my favorite plays for the weekend, I want to point out that this isn’t a regular week so make sure you are locked in prior to kickoff to make sure everyone in your lineup is playing.

The QBs:

CJ Stroud ($7300DK, $8300FD)

Let’s start this article off with the favorite to win the OROY. The Colts were Stroud’s second-ever start back in Week 2, and it was his breakout performance where he threw for 384 yards and two touchdowns. With a playoff spot on the line, I’m trusting Stroud against the Colts and their 18th-ranked defense against QBs.

Who to pair him with: Nico Collins. Xavier Hutchinson. Dalton Schultz

Mason Rudolph ($5400DK, $6800FD)

Rudolph is set to make his third start of the year. They will need some help on Sunday to make the playoffs, but they will first need to beat the Ravens on Saturday. Rudolph has had mixed performances in his first two starts of the year. He played well against the Bengals on Christmas Eve, and he followed that up by struggling a bit against Seattle. The Ravens this week are going to rest most of their starters since they secured first place in the AFC. So Rudolph will have to deal with a weaker defense than he would have if it were earlier in the year.

Who to pair him with: George Pickens. Diontae Johnson

Honorable Mentions: Gardner Minshew. Tyler Huntley.

The RBs:

Jonathan Taylor ($7400DK, $9200FD)

The highest-priced RB and the top-scoring RB on the slate, according to Stix’s model, Taylor has averaged 73.3 rushing yards per game and seven total touchdowns in his last seven since retaking control of the backfield. Houston has a solid rush defense, but the last time these two met, Houston could not contain Moss, who had 88 yards and a score on the ground. The Colts are in a must-win game, and it would shock me if they didn’t use their best player to help them get the win.

Jaylen Warren ($5400DK, $6000FD)

While I like his teammate Harris a lot too, I want to use Warren, as he has been averaging 4.5 receptions on 5.3 targets over the past four games. He has also seen at least three targets and seven rushing attempts in each of his last 10 games. With the Ravens sitting a good amount of their starters, Warren could see some nice catches out of the backfield.

Honorable Mentions: Devin Singletary. Najee Harris. Gus Edwards. Melvin Gordon

The WRs:

Michael Pittman Jr. ($7500DK, $7700FD)

There is not much to say about Pittman Jr.; he is the best WR on the slate. Pittman comes into the game as the seventh most targeted WR, averaging 10 targets per game. Pittman also ranks sixth in catch percentage among WRs with 100 receptions this season. The volume of targets plus this being a must-win game should make Pittman the top-scoring WR on this small slate.

Nico Collins ($8700DK, $8000FD)

With Brown ruled out and Woods questionable for Saturday, I will want all the Collins I can get. Collins has 100 targets this season, despite missing three games earlier in the year. Like I mentioned with Taylor, this is a must-win game for both teams, so I’ll be shocked if Houston doesn’t target Collins early and often.

Honorable Mentions: Xavier Hutchinson. George Pickens. Diontae Johnson. Josh Downs. Nelson Agholor.

The TEs

Isaiah Likely ($4800 DK, $6400 FD)

Likely is my favorite play on the Ravens. Jackson, OBJ, and Zay Flowers have all been ruled out, so their best weapon left is likely. Huntley isn’t a young QB, but the saying that young QBs love their TEs can also be used with backup QBs. This is likely a big security blanket for Huntley, as since this is a rivalry game, expect the Ravens to want to end any hope of the Steelers making the playoffs.

Honorable Mentions: Dalton Schultz. Pat Freiermuth. Charlie Kolar. Kylen Granson.

Favorite Value Plays:

  • Xavier Hutchinson, WR
  • Melvin Gordon, RB
  • Robert Woods, WR
  • Nelson Agholor, WR
  • Rashod Bateman, WR
  • Charlie Kolar, TE
  • Kylen Granson, TE

Drago’s Best Bets:

  • Houston -1.5
  • Steelers -2.5
  • Michael Pittman Jr Over 78.5 Receiving Yards
  • Nico Collins Over 73.5 Receiving Yards

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Ivan (idrago15) will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Ivan on Twitter @idragol15 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/nfl/

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