Capper Steve 
Week One and done! Our project models were razor-sharp and should’ve increased your bankroll over the weekend! But there’s no time to sit back and count our money… there’s plenty more to make in Week 2! With so many ways to set your lineups on this 12-game slate, we got you covered. There were some incredible scores last week with a few big names like A.J. Brown, Justin Jefferson, and Ja’Marr Chase in those cash games, so let’s get back to the lab and formulate more NFL DFS winners! Again always here to help in our discord chat, you can tag me @JDiCarlo78#5965 for any insight…Thanks and Good Luck this weekend!
Sunday Main Slate 9/18/22
Bucs @ Saints (+2.5) 1 p.m. (O/U 44)
Buccaneers
Cordarrelle Patterson averaged 10 YPC against the front seven of New Orleans and since Brady’s O-Line is a mess, he may want to hand it to his bell-cow Fournette, who looked like a battering ram Sunday night in Dallas. Chris Godwin may have come back from rehab too soon as he went down again with a hamstring, not looking good for him to play. So is Mike Evans a lock? Saints stud corner Marshon Lattimore says otherwise. He’s owned big Mike, holding him to 8 catches over the past 4 regular season matchups. Pivoting to Julio and Gage would fit nicely in a tourney.
Saints
The Bucs are still a brick wall to run on with Vita Veya and company upfront, so it’s a pass on Kamara for me this week. Jameis will be forced to throw a ton and after a two-year hiatus, Michael Thomas will get his share of targets again, especially after his two touchdowns. I mentioned above about Tampa’s O-Line, that Saints pressure could really rattle Brady on Sunday and force a few turnovers and sacks Saints DST I am not arguing at all for ($2,400 DraftKings/$4,000 FanDuel). On the flip side, Tampa themselves have been strong on defense. We all have seen Winston over the years turn over the ball, give me Tampa DST to play it safe.
Update: A. Kamara is out!!!
Cash: T. Brady, L. Fournette, Tampa DST, M. Thomas
GPP: J. Jones, R. Gage, Saints DST
Panthers @ Giants (-2.5) 1 p.m. (O/U 43)
Panthers
I was not impressed with the offense, which looks to be still in the works and needs some more time to gel. CMC did not put up as many points as anticipated, mainly because of the Browns dialing in on defense. How about a homecoming for Robbie Anderson at the Meadowlands? He led Carolina with 8 targets, grabbing (5 REC for 102 YDS and a TD). Born and raised in Teaneck, NJ, and drafted by the Jets in 2016, Anderson may put out another nice stat sheet in front of family and friends.
Giants
New York pulled out an upset in Tennessee and the entire world saw Saquon Barkley carry his team to victory. This kid looked like he went back in time to 2018, rushing for 164 yards and a touchdown. He caught 6 balls for 30 too, making him hands down the focal point of the G-Men. I’m not feeling this low total though, so I would only feel safe with Barkley in this one. Now as a Giants fan, I would have said Sterling Shepard was still the WR1 of the core, even coming off an Achilles injury he proved my theory on the money. He is the only trust-worthy receiver for New York that brought in a 65–yard touchdown catch in Tennessee.
Cash: S. Barkley
GPP: R. Anderson, S. Shepard
Jets @ Browns (-6) 1 p.m. (O/U 40)
Jets
Ooofff another game where I’d rather be getting a root canal than watch. Sorry about last week guys, tried being a little too creative with Joe Flacco, he’s toast. He does like dumping off to his running backs, in fact, Michael Carter caught 7 of them. Elijah Moore did see 7 targets and is the best option at receiver for New York, I can invest with them in a GPP, especially Carter who has been praised by the head coach Robert Salah.
Browns
I dote on the fact that Cleveland kept quiet all week while Baker was in the spotlight, and pulled out the win in Carolina. Their defense when healthy is a huge headache for O.C.s and will 100 percent get to Flacco. The Browns will look to eat up the clock using Chubb and Hunt after getting the ball back from Jets’ 3 and outs. Possibly DPJ can break one off on a deep route like what Duvernay and Bateman did a week ago.
Cash: N. Chubb, Cleveland DST, M. Carter
GPP: K. Hunt, M. Carter, E. Moore, D. Peoples-Jones
Patriots @ Steelers (+1) 1 p.m. (O/U 40)
Patriots
What a disaster in New England, absolutely no good vibes on offense here. Mac Jones hit the injury report with back spasms, but even if healthy I don’t see the Pats moving the football. I can see using a Hunter Henry or Jakobi Meyers for a great ROI, since they will see their fair share of targets at a discount in salary.
Steelers
The Pittsburgh defense carried the team to an upset on the road in Cincinnati, picking off Burrow four times and recovering a forced fumble. New England should be a walk in the park compared to the defending AFC champs, even without a player of the year T J Watt. Pittsburgh may have to pass more than run in this one after Najee had an ankle stepped on and may see less snaps out of precaution. Diontae Johnson commanded the target share, but I do like Claypool as well, who can also be used in the running game.
Cash: D. Johnson
GPP: H. Henry, J. Meyers, C. Claypool, PIT DST
Dolphins @ Ravens (-3.5) 1 p.m. (O/U 44.5)
Dolphins
Tyreek Hill picked up right where he left off in Kansas City burning cornerbacks (8REC for 94YDS) and seeing plenty of targets (12). On the other side, Waddle took one to the house ( 4 REC or 69YDS and 1 TD). Even though Baltimore does have a solid defense, Tua is sitting pretty. Until we see somebody that can figure out the genius of head coach Mike McDaniels, let’s roll with the fins before they get too pricey.
Ravens
If it was the weather in Jersey or playing without a new contract, Lamar didn’t look to run with the ball. He won’t have a choice in this match-up, Xavien Howard and Byron Jones are two bookends in the Fins’ secondary. Bateman and Duvernay would be a little risky so that would leave Andrews as a much safer target. Hopefully, we get a nice clear cool day for Jackson to stretch his legs in front of a home crowd and show them he needs to be paid.
Update: J. K. Dobbins is not expected to play.
Cash: T. Hill, T.Tagovailoa, L. Jackson, M. Andrews
GPP: J. Waddle
Colts @ Jaguars (+4) 1 p.m. (O/U 46.5)
Colts
Indy barely tied the Texans rallying in the second half behind Michael Pittman’s (9REC/121YDS/1TD) stat line and Jonathon Taylor’s 161 yards rushing, 14 receiving from 4 grabs, and a touchdown as well. Not much to say about the number-one ranked running back paired with an up-and-coming number-one receiver, lock it up. But hold the phone. We may need to pivot to Paris Campbell after Pittman showed up late in the week with a quad injury. Regardless of his price this slate ($3,700 DraftKings/$5,100 FanDuel) he’s too tempting to pick up. Cash if Pittman sits out, GPP if he plays fellas.
Update: M. Pittman out! Heavy work load for Taylor and P. Campbell time!
Jaguars
The Jags held their own at Washington, putting points on the board. A surprise to that happening was the re-emergence of James Robinson who recovered from a torn Achilles to take back his job from Etienne. Another fact newly signed Christian Kirk is earning his living. Because Jacksonville may again be playing from behind, Kirk could see another 12 targets and catch for over 100 yards, with Zay Jones too who quietly saw 9 targets on 83 % of the snaps.
Cash: J. Taylor, M. Pittman, C. Kirk
GPP: Z. Jones, J. Robinson, P. Campbell (Cash if Pittman plays)
Commanders @ Lions (-2.5) 1 p.m. (O/U 49.5)
Commanders
Wentz gets another great match-up on paper in Detroit, who gave up 38 points to Philadelphia last week. We just can’t ignore that he threw for over 300 yards and 4 touchdowns against Jacksonville, yet still priced under $6K on DraftKings. It was nice to see Curtis Samuel get back into the mix again (20 PPR FPTS.) finally, who is a head coach Ron Rivera favorite and will stay on the field. ‘Scary’ Terry McClaurin was quiet as the rookie Johan Dotson scored twice, but we may see the roles reverse this week as he lines up across Amani Oruwariye, who was annihilated by A J Brown. But my favorite take on this team is how they used Antonio Gibson, Wentz checked it down to him for 7 grabs and he rushed for just over 4 YPC, owning over 64 % of the snaps.
Lions
Detroit showed us some heart and won’t go down without a fight. Goff will have another shoot-out with Wentz as both teams struggle to play defense. Everyone can eat again in the Silver Dome, especially Amon Ra, who will draw the same coverage from Christian Kirk’s incredible game last week. If it really heats up, Chark may show up in a big game too. Swift did not practice today with an ankle injury, will keep you updated, might be a Jamaal Williams day again without the vulturing.
Cash: A. Gibson, A. St.-Brown, T. McClaurin, J. Williams ( if Swift is out or limited, otherwise tournament move)
GPP: J. Goff, C. Wentz, C. Samuel, D. Chark,
Falcons @ Rams (-10.5) 4:05 p.m. (O/U 47)
Falcons
Atlanta looked fresh before collapsing in the second half to the Saints in the opener. The run-heavy Arthur Smith offense was led by Mariota and Cordarrelle Patterson and very effectively. But if the Rams get up to a big lead early, Mariota will be forced to play catch-up. A nice bounce-back spot for Pitts who was on a milk carton in week one. I wouldn’t attempt any Atlanta in cash games, strictly tournaments guys. If this game gets out of hand, we may see the backups out in the second half.
Rams
Get ready for a blood bath at SoFy Stadium. McVay was taking a beating all week from the LA press on how bad his team looked at home. He will have all the troops fired up including Allen Robinson who the Rams fans almost called an Amber Alert for. Stafford, Kupp, and Henderson are also a lock here, fade Akers for now until he’s out of the doghouse.
Cash: M, Stafford, C. Kupp, A. Robinson, D. Henderson
GPP: M. Mariota, C. Patterson, K. Pitts
Seahawks @ 49ERS (-10) 4:05 p.m. (O/U 42.5)
Seahawks
Genoooo…. The veteran had an excellent game, but not for a DFS Millimaker. Smith only threw for 195 yards and two touchdowns and added 18 yards rushing. The volume just is nowhere to be seen yet anywhere in Seattle, salaries need to drop on DK Metcalf and Lockett before I consider anything. Penny has shown some signs of burst, but I just don’t like the match-up. I’m going to stay away from Seattle on the road in a division game.
49ERS
Give Lance another chance. Soldier field was a giant slip-n-slide in a hurricane. Eli Mitchell fell on IR from the conditions most likely, so next man up is Jeff Wilson by default. Lance and Deebo will get involved in the run-game as well, Deebo being the best option. It’s looking like no Kittle again, dude can’t catch a break, Aiyuk would see an uptick in volume if in fact he can’t suit up.
Update: G. Kittle doubtful
Cash: D. Samuel, J. Wilson
GPP: T. Lance, B. Aiyuk
Bengals @ Cowboys (+8.5) 4:25 p.m. (O/U 42.5)
Bengals
Burrow will get his revenge for a poor 4 interception home opener. Ja’Maar Chase will see a lot of Trevon Diggs who gives up way too many big yardage plays, something Chase will exploit. Mixon will be money in the bank too, who will see all the goal line work and carries to chew up the clock. Stacking Mixon with the Cincinnati DST, Cooper Rush under center….I can’t scroll fast enough!
Cowboys
Last Halloween Rush actually did have a solid game, beating the Vikes with a (325 YDS/2TD/1INT) stat line, not bad. Cee Dee Lamb will get safety help and suffocated again, which may leave Noah Brown and Dalton Schultz open combining for a total of 18 targets in which they saw facing Tampa. Let’s stick to a GPP for Dallas, starters may get pulled if the game gets out of reach.
Cash: J. Chase, J. Burrow, J. Mixon, Bengals DST
GPP: D. Schultz, N. Brown
Texans @ Broncos (-10) 4:25 p.m. (O/U 46.5)
Texans
Houston facing a double-digit spread on the road and odds-makers are not giving the rebuilding Texans a chance. Davis Mills their second-year signal caller does take care of the ball, and may give Denver a run for their money. Don’t be too quick to shoot down rookie running back Dameon Pierce too soon. Denver’s front formations favor opposing backs in order to take away the deep ball. Coach Lovey Smith is old school, if he chooses to play “keep away” from Wilson he will look to utilize Pierce.
Broncos
Russell Wilson will be much better at Mile High against the young Texans and will be ready to cook. Getting beat in Seattle in front of his old teammates had to sting, believe me, he’ll make a statement this weekend. Courtland Sutton will look like a god by being shadowed by rookie Derek Stingley Jr. who allowed the Colts’ Michael Pittman ( 9 REC/121YDS/1TD) to look like Marvin Harrison. Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon may both get a goal-line carry in this spot and pretty much anyone in orange is viable.
Cash: R. Wilson, C. Sutton, J. Williams
GPP: J. Jeudy, M. Gordon
Cardinals @ Raiders (-6) 4:25 p.m. (O/U 51.5)
Cardinals
Murray and the Cards are looking at 0-2 to start the season as a touchdown dog in Vegas. A win would need him to step up and the Raiders are easily beaten through the air. Chargers QB Justin Herbert lit them up ( 279 YDS and 3 TDs). Murray has that same capability and will need some help from his deep-threat college teammate Marquise Brown. Running back James Connor has been a big part of Arizona’s scheme and will definitely get a sizable role again in this Sin-City battle.
Raiders
Derek Carr has to be my go-to QB this week. Mid-range salary ($6,200 DraftKings/$7,300 FanDuel) that won’t break the bank, high ceiling, and a game script with shoot-out written all over it. He’s linked to top 5 receiver Davante Adams and tight end Darren Waller. Plus with running back specialist Brandon Bolden missing practice, Josh Jacobs should see most of the snaps and goal-line work. Finally, I think we see a bit more of Hunter Renfrow this game. He has the skill set and saw 84% of the snaps, it’s only a matter of when Josh McDaniels throws him a bone.
Cash: K. Murray, D. Carr, M. Brown, D. Adams, J. Connor, D. Waller
GPP: J. Jacobs, H. Renfrow
Cash Core 4
D. Carr/D. Adams/J. Mixon/M. Andrews
GPP Core 4
C. Wentz /T. McClaurin /J. Wilson/K. Pitts
Stacks
K.Murray / M. Brown (ARI); D. Carr / D. Adams / D. Waller (LV); R. Wilson / C. Sutton / J. Jeudy; (DEN)
J. Goff / A. St. Brown / D. Swift (if healthy) (DET); C. Wentz / T. McClaurin / A. Gibson (WSH)
J. Burrow / J. Chase / J. Mixon (CIN)
Thank you for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 2 and make sure you follow me on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @JDiCarlo78. Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport.
