Ivan Herrera 
Welcome to the divisional round of the NFL postseason. Both games should be competitive as the Texans visit the defending champions Chiefs and Washington takes a trip to Detroit to play the NFC’s top seed Lions.
The purpose of this article is to break down the best plays both on the DFS and betting sides. The article will include my favorite plays and honorable mentions for every DFS position. You can also find my favorite bets under Drago’s Best Bets section at the end of the article.
The QBs:
Jayden Daniels ($7000DK, $8200FD)
Starting with the favorite for the OROY and the highest-priced QB on the slate, Daniels is in a good spot against the Lions on Saturday. The Lions allowed the fifth most passing yards to opposing quarterbacks (4404) and allowed the fourth most rushing yards (454). This game has the highest total (55.5) of all four divisional round games and for good reason as both offenses are great. I’m following the books here and backing Daniels as he will need to pass and run to keep Washington in the game and have an opportunity to upset the Lions.
Who to pair him with: Terry McLaurin, Olamide Zaccheaus, Dyami Brown
Patrick Mahomes ($6000DK, $7700FD)
Although Mahomes didn’t have the best regular season, it is in the playoffs where he usually shines the brightest. Houston was good against quarterbacks in the regular season allowing the seventh-fewest passing yards (3749) and had the second-most interceptions with 19. While they have been good against quarterbacks, one of their worst games this season came against Mahomes last month where he threw for 260 yards and a touchdown while finishing with 23.7 DK. I like the price for Mahomes in this spot.
Who to pair him with: Xavier Worthy. Travis Kelce
Honorable Mentions: Jared Goff.
The RBs:
David Montgomery ($5700DK, $4000FD)
Not much to say here, Montgomery is one of the best running backs in the NFL and is coming into this game with no injury designation which means he should be healthy enough to see his usual workload. If he does get his usual workload (13.2 attempts) then he should be in for a big game as the Commanders are not good against the run. They have 18 running backs this season to reach the 50-yard mark, with 10 of those reaching 75+ and half reaching 100+. Montgomery will split time with Gibbs, who is also in play, but the Lions have proved that both can get enough touches to pay off.
Isiah Pacheco ($5500DK, $5800FD)
Staying in the midrange in salary for running backs, Pacheco is in a good spot against the Texans. Pacheco didn’t finish the regular season as strong as he would have hoped coming back from injury. In his five games since returning from injury he has 49 carries for 175 yards (3.5/carry). The Chiefs decided to let Hunt continue to see a significant workload, only finishing with 4 fewer carries than Pacheco in the five games they played together. But with three weeks of rest (KC rested their starters in Week 18) I think Pacheco should be back to the form he had before the injury.
Honorable Mentions: Jahmyr Gibbs. Joe Mixon. Brian Robinson Jr. Austin Ekeler.
The WRs:
Terry McLaurin ($6300DK, $7400FD)
As I mentioned above the Lions are allowing the fifth most passing yards to quarterbacks, 3147 of the yards they have allowed are from wide receivers which is the most allowed. McLaurin being the Commander’s top target should be able to take advantage of the secondary. He should see a healthy amount of Terrion Arnold who has been an ok corner this season allowing .26 FPRR and 1.26YPRR, McLaurin leads Washington in both categories with .48 FPRR and 2 YPRR. McLaurin has a 37.1% target share among Commander wide receivers and has accounted for 42.1% of the receiving yards for Washington receivers.
Xavier Worthy ($5200DK, $6400FD)
Worthy has felt like a steal for the Chiefs with the 28th pick. He has been involved in the passing and run game, having a carry in 12 games this season. He was successful in his first matchup against the Texans, finishing the game with 65 receiving yards, and a touchdown, and added 10 yards in the run game. He will be moved a lot during the game so while it looks like on paper he will see Stingley Jr who is the Texan’s best corner, he should have plenty of opportunities to have success.
Honorable Mentions: Nico Collins. Amon-Ra St.Brown. Jameson Williams. DeAndre Hopkins.
Value WRs: Olamide Zacchaeus. Dyami Brown. John Metchie. Justin Watson. Tim Patrick.
The TEs
Dalton Schultz ($3300DK, $5300FD)
It’s hard to pass on Schultz in this spot. He is priced as the lowest starting tight end but he is in the best spot out of the four. The Chiefs are allowing the most receiving yards to tight ends (1191) and are giving up the fourth most fantasy points. In the first meeting, Schultz had five receptions for 45 yards and a score. Schultz’s 45 receiving yards was the fifth-fewest they have allowed in a game as they have allowed 50+ yards in more than half of their games. At this price, I am locking in Schultz as my tight end in every lineup.
Honorable Mentions: Travis Kelce. Sam LaPorta. Zach Ertz. Noah Gray. *I think all tight ends are in play for Saturday but Schultz would be my favorite.*
Drago’s Best Bets:
- Washington Commanders +8.5 (-108) vs Detroit Lions
- David Montgomery Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115)/ 50+ (+105)/ 60+ (+155)
- Kansas City Chiefs Alt Spread -6.5 (-161) vs Houston Texans
- Dalton Schultz Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-110)/ 50+ (+150)
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