This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Two 13-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
High Tier
NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($9000 FD|$8100 DK)
61% Reception rate. 13 Targets, 8 receptions, 13.9 yards per reception (Week One).
DeAndre Hopkins is such a key part of this offense and his 100% snap share makes him a top wide receiver play week in and out. Sammy Watkins had a huge game with nine receptions, 198 yards, and three touchdowns. I’m not not a believer in this Jacksonville defense and I do not think Week One was an outlier. I’ll take Hopkins as a top play in Week Two.
NFL DFS WR: JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) ($8100 FD|$7500 DK)
75% Reception rate. 8 Targets, 6 Receptions, 9.8 yards per reception (Week One).
Let’s keep this one simple. The Bengals just tossed over 400 passing yards and two TDs against the Seattle defense in their house. Big Ben is better at home through history, but we have seen those splits come closer together the last two years. The Steelers lost two massive pieces on their offense and the 33-3 beat-down in Foxborough doesn’t bode much confidence. Nonetheless I think we have to consider a Big Ben/Smith-Schuster correlation for tournaments if you’re running multiple lines. Smith-Schuster just as one-off is fine too.
NFL DFS WR: Michael Thomas (NOS) ($8500 FD|$8000 DK)
77% Reception rate. 13 Targets, 10 Receptions, 12.3 yards per reception (Week One).
Michael Thomas should draw a good bit of ownership on Sunday, although he does draw Marcus Peters in coverage. This game comes in with the highest score total so this is definitely a spot you’ll want to highly consider. There isn’t a whole lot of weight to back the Drew Brees dome/no dome theory. Any QB is going to be better when not dealing with the elements, but Brees has identical completion percentages, (66% no dome, 69% dome) and not a big flux in points scored on the road versus at home.
NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (LAC) ($7700 FD|$7600 DK)
80% Reception rate. 10 Targets, 8 Receptions, 15.4 yards per reception (Week One).
Keenan Allen is probably my bottom play in terms of top receivers. He doesn’t get that great of a matchup but the Chargers really have no other weapons outside of Allen and Ekeler. Mike Williams is banged up and Hunter Henry is out again. The Chargers have limited options so we should see Rivers try to get the ball to who he is comfortable with and that is Keenan Allen.
NFL DFS RB: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9200 DK)
85% Snap Share, 6 Targets, 4 Receptions, 9.3 yards per touch (Week One).
Game-script affected the way Saquon Barkley was utilized in the Giants offense. He only had 11 carries and four receptions and still managed 139 all-purpose yards. That is the definition of efficiency and Buffalo isn’t quite as good as Dallas against the run. Sterling Shephard is now in concussion protocol and the Giants lack offensive luster outside of Shephard, Engram, and Barkley. He should see a nice increase in usage and wouldn’t be surprised to see him get 20+ touches in Week Two.
Honorable Mention:
Ezekiel Elliott ($8500 FD|$8700 DK): 14 touches, 63 all-purpose yards, 1 TD (Week One).
Mid Tier
NFL DFS WR: Adam Thielen (MIN) ($7300 FD|$7100 DK)
100% Reception rate. 3 Targets, 3 Receptions, 14 yards per reception (Week One).
Kirk Cousins only threw the ball 10 times in Week One, completing eight of them for 98 yards and a TD. Dalvin Cook and the Minnesota defense pretty much handled the rest. This is a big division game against Green Bay and I think we see a lot more passing given run defense is one of the Packers’ strengths. Adam Thielen should see at least 10 looks on Sunday.
NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($6800 FD|$6000 DK)
70% Reception rate. 10 Targets, 7 Receptions, 6.6 yards per reception (Week One).
Cooper Kupp gets one of the best pound for pound matchups on the slate against P.J. Williams. The Rams didn’t look great offensively last Sunday but Jared Goff home/road splits are a thing. At home, Goff is completing 68% of his passes compared to 60% on the road. He also averaged 342 passing yards per per game at home (he threw over 400 in some) versus 243 on the road. Kupp was one of the highest targeted receivers in the red zone and averaged nine targets per game last season. I like him particularly on DK for the PPR.
NFL DFS WR: Julian Edelman (NEP) ($7100 FD|$6900 DK)
62% Reception rate. 95 Targets, 59 Receptions, nine yards per target (Week One).
It will be interesting to see what kind of game plan Bill Belichick rolls out in Miami. His team is talented in all three phrases and he has numerous weapons and depth to compliment those weapons. I’m not a huge fan but I’d be neglectful to not include Julian Edelman. My theory is based on game script. I think this game correlates better with RB paired with DST as opposed to QB with WR. I just think they play smart, sound football and grind it out. Edelman should be considered, he just won’t be in my main lineup.
Honorable Mentions: Robert Woods ($7300 FD|$6400 DK), Kenny Golladay ($6600 FD|$6600 DK), Tyler Boyd ($6300 FD|$6600 DK),
Low Tier/Punts
NFL DFS WR: John Brown (BUF) ($6300 FD|$5200 DK)
70% Reception rate. 10 Targets, 7 Receptions, 17.6 yards per reception (Week One).
John Brown presents great speed against a terrible New York Giants defense. Prior to his departure of Arizona he had dealt with injuries off and on and then was traded to Baltimore and saw minimal work when rookie QB Lamar Jackson came in and ran his way through the rest of the season. Brown is a good receiver and matches up well against Janoris Jenkins. Although I still love a Zay Jones play to pivot off of him, I give John Brown the edge.
NFL DFS WR: Tyrell Williams (OAK) ($5900 FD|$4400 DK)
85% Reception rate. 7 Targets, 6 Receptions, 17 yards per reception (Week One).
The Raiders present overall great value across the board. K.C. has a weak secondary and rookie Gardner Minshew made that pretty evident after going 22-25 and two TD’s last week. Carr has limited weapons and Tyrell should continue to benefit.
NFL DFS WR: Randall Cobb (DAL) ($5500 FD|$4500 DK)
80% Reception rate. 5 Targets, 4 Receptions, 17 yards per reception (Week One).
NFL DFS WR: Chris Conley (JAC) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)
85% Reception rate. 7 Targets, 6 Receptions, 16 yards per reception (Week One).
NFL DFS RB: Josh Jacobs (OAK) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)
24 touches for 113 all-purpose yards and 2 TD’s (Week One).
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Adam Thielen Featured Image via Keith Allison
