This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Four 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
High Tier
NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8300 FD|$7800 DK)
76% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 19 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.
It’s been a different year for Julio Jones in terms of red zone production. He was always the receiver to get a ton of catches and yards but minimal scoring upside just because of how he was used in the red zone in years past. Jones already has half his 2018 TD total (four) through three games. I have a lot of stock invested in him this week and expect a big game.
NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (HOU) ($8100 FD|$7600 DK)
94% Snap Share. 42 Targets (36% share), 29 receptions, 14 yards per reception, One TD.
Keenan Allen has been a top fantasy asset the first three weeks this season and he gets an easily exploitable matchup against the tanking Miami Dolphins. Keenan Allen leads all receivers in receptions, total yards, and completed air yards. He averaging the second most FPTS per game through three weeks, averaging 30 per game. Allen once again comes in as a clear cut top fantasy option in Week Four and should be considered in all formats.
NFL DFS TE: Travis Kelce (K.C.) ($7600 FD|$7200 DK)
84% Snap Share. 25 Targets, 17 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TDs.
As I’m sure everyone has heard the stat by now, Patrick Mahomes averaged over 495 yards per game and 4.75 TDs through four indoor college games. It seems like a stat that really shouldn’t be considered because we are comparing college and NFL but Mahomes proves week in and week out just how talented he is. Travis Kelce gets a decent size advantage in this weeks matchup and should see plenty of targets. I’m going to overlook Detroit’s blanket coverage against Zach Ertz in Week Three due to all the injuries at the receiver position the Eagles had. K.C. has plenty of weapons to draw attention away from Kelce so he presumably is in a better spot than the Eagles and Ertz were.
NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)
100% Snap Share, 21 Targets, 15 Receptions for 132 yards, 59 carries for 318 yards, 6 yards per touch, Three TDs.
It looks like it’s going to be another 28-30 touch day for Christian McCaffrey on Sunday. The Panthers take on the Texans who are allowing over five yards per carry to running backs. Ron Rivera has voiced this week the importance of establishing the run and rolling out a balanced offense. This was the key to Kyle Allen’s success in Week Three vs. the Arizona Cardinals and expect an identical game plan against the Texans.
NFL DFS RB: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($8100 FD|$8000 DK)
75% Snap Share, 20 Targets, 19 Receptions, 38 carries for 160 yards, 6 yards per touch, Four TDs.
Justin Jackson is out this and week the Chargers are expecting Melvin Gordon to play. I can’t see Gordon coming back this week and hogging a ton of work from Austin Ekeler. I still expect the Chargers to use Ekeler predominantly in his pass catching role and can only see Gordon getting seven to 10 touches on Sunday.
Mid Tier
NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($7000 FD|$6500 DK)
95% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 23 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Jared Goff’s favorite receiver, at home, with one of the best matchups on the slate. Goff had 12 more TD passes and over 900 more yards at home compared to on the road in 2018. Cooper Kupp is seeing nearly 30% of all targets come his way, the fifth best in the league.
NFL DFS WR: Sammy Watkins (K.C.) ($6900 FD|$6700 DK)
89% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 20 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Outside of Kelce, Sammy Watkins is likely where I will go for a team stack. Watkins is second in the league with 311 receiving yards and is seeing a target share of 28%.
NFL DFS RB: Kerryon Johnson (DET) ($6500 FD|$5400 DK)
62% Snap Share. 48 carries, 126 rushing yards, Two TDs.
It has been a disappointing campaign three weeks in for Kerryon Johnson who is averaging just 2.2 YPC. The Lions will need to establish the run to compliment their balanced passing offense and this is the perfect spot for Johnson to get into rhythm against a Chiefs defense that is allowing runners to average 6.2 YPC.
NFL DFS RB: Leonard Fournette (JAC) ($6400 FD|$6000 DK)
98% Snap Share. 43 carries,179 yards, 14 Receptions, 4.8 yards per touch, Zero TDs.
I know a few people have mentioned Fournette and I am okay with the play in large field tourneys. He just hasn’t impressed like I thought he would this season. If Gardner Minshew is able to maintain what he has been doing it may open up things for Fournette in the run.
NFL DFS WR: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6800 FD|$4600 DK)
96% Snap Share. 28 Targets, 22 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Tyler Lockett is off to a great start this season. He is averaging 20 FPTS per game and will continue to get a vast majority of looks from Russell Wilson.
NFL DFS WR: Terry McLaurin (WSH) ($6300 FD|$4500 DK)
95% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 16 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Three TDs.
The Giants are coming in at very high ownership and the Redskins aren’t getting a lot of love. DFS pundits have attacked the Giants defense for three weeks and are suddenly off of them. I like the Redskins receivers as a way a leverage play. The Giants are putrid defending the pass, allowing over 330 yards a game which is the worst in the NFL.
NFL DFS WR: Sterling Shepard (WSH) ($6300 FD|$4500 DK)
100% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 13 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.
This side of the Giants game will be the some of the biggest chalk on the slate. Understandably so, the Redskins just got torched by a questionable Bears offense at home and are giving up over 450 yards per game. I’m not crazy about eating this Giants chalk after one week of Daniel Jones, but it would be wise to come close to what the field is projecting in terms of ownership.
Low Tier
NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5900 FD|$5600 DK)
100% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 18 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.
NFL DFS WR: Christian Kirk (ARI) ($5100 FD|$5900 DK)
99% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 20 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
NFL DFS WR: Paul Richardson Jr. (WSH) ($4700 FD|$3700 DK)
85% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 15 Receptions, 9 yards per reception, Two TDs.
NFL DFS WR: Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) ($5900 FD|$5400 DK)
88% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 15 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TDs.
NFL DFS TE: Will Dissly (SEA) ($5400 FD|$3600 DK)
55% Snap Share. 14 Targets, 12 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Three TDs.
NFL DFS RB: Josh Jacobs (OAK) ($6000 FD|$5100 DK)
53% Snap Share. 45 carries, 220 yards, Two TDs.
NFL DFS RB: Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($5000 FD|$6200 DK)
68% Snap Share. 35 Targets, 129 yards, 9 catches, 62 yards, Zero TDs.
NFL DFS WR: Zach Pascal (IND) ($5400 FD|$4500 DK)
**T.Y. Hilton likely out
45% Snap Share. 3 Targets, 2 Receptions, One TD.
NFL DFS RB: Wayne Gallman Jr. (NYG) ($5800 FD|$4500 DK)
Gallman’s stats aren’t worth mentioning for 2019 because Saquon Barkley gets everything when he is healthy. Expect 15-20 touches for Gallman and a ton of ownership.
NFL DFS WR: Dontrelle Inman (LAC) ($4800 FD|$3000 DK)
44% snap share, 6 Targets, 3 Receptions, zero TDs.
Dontrelle Inman is now in play with Mike Williams and Travis Benjamin out. His snap share and target rate are almost certain to go up with him running in the two slot.
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Kenny Golladay Featured Image via kevind810
