This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Five 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
High Tier
NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8200 FD|$7700 DK)
77% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 23 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.
Julio Jones comes in as a top play once again in Week Five. Bit of a disappointing performance in Week Four as Matt Ryan threw the ball 53 times for nearly 400 yards and Jones only drew seven of those targets. Julio Jones and the Falcons will look to rebound against a beatable Houston Texans secondary and a defense that ranks 13th overall DVOA.
NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($8500 FD|$7800 DK)
100% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 24 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins correlation will likely be the heaviest chalk in Week Five. I’m not as crazy as everyone else is about this matchup. Yes, the Falcons rank 25th in terms of getting pressure on the QB but Houston ranks 31st in allowing pressure against the QB (11.9% ADJ. Sack Rate). Atlanta faced a Tennessee team in Week Four that struggles the most in the league in protecting the QB and managed to not register even one sack. If the offensive line can give Watson the protection he absolutely needs to be successful than I can see Houston having a great day, but it is risky.
NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)
100% Snap Share, 31 Targets, 25 Receptions for 218 yards, 86 carries for 411 yards, 6 yards per touch, Four TDs.
I predicted 30 touches last week for Christian McCaffrey and he ended up with 37 touches for 179 all-purpose yards and a TD. The entire offense revolves around him and he will continue to receiver monster work loads week in and out. CMC is once again viable in all formats in Week Five.
NFL DFS RB: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ($8800 FD|$8300 DK)
71% Snap Share, 14 Targets, 11 Receptions, 63 yards. 73 carries for 324 yards, 4.4 yards per touch, Three TDs.
After starting out looking like the a perennial defense, the Packers have come back down to reality and rank 26th against the run in Week Five. They surrender over 140 yards per game on the ground but they do have a very good secondary. This is clearly Zeke’s day and I will have plenty of shares.
Honorable Mention: Dalvin Cook ($8200 FD|$8400 DK), Mark Ingram ($7500 FD|$6300 DK), Chris Godwin ($7800 FD|$6900 DK), Mike Evans ($7700 FD|$7100 DK), Zach Ertz ($6600 FD|$6000 DK).
Mid Tier
NFL DFS WR: Adam Thielen (MIN) ($6900 FD|$6700 DK)
93% Snap Share. 22 Targets, 13 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Adam Thielen expressed his frutration with the poor passing performance by the Vikings offense. All the right pieces are there, unfortunately it falls on one guy and that is Kirk Cousins. Thielen is in a great spot, as is Stefon Diggs. I’d like to think we can expect a breakout performance in the passing game against the Giants who allow nearly 300 yards through the air per game, but Cousins is just not getting it done.
NFL DFS WR: Alshon Jeffrey (PHI) ($6700 FD|$5900 DK)
83% Snap Share. 15 Targets, 8 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Very nice matchup for Alshon Jeffrey against a Jets defense that gives up nearly 300 yards through the air per game. His numbers aren’t there just due to injury early in the season but he is a good play at a fair price, particularly on DK.
NFL DFS TE: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6100 FD|$4800 DK)
48% Snap Share. 32 targets, 23 receptions, 266 receiving yards. Three TDs.
You didn’t fall asleep on my boy, did you? Mark Andrews has been dealing with a foot injury all season but heads into Week Five without an injury designation (finally) and practiced in full on Friday. The Steelers do struggle defending slot receivers and Andrews is lining up in the slot at a 40% clip. Outside of Andrews being Lamar Jackson’s favorite target, his size advantage, and the fact that he’s quickly becoming a top tier NFL tight end, I see no reason not to play him.
NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5800 FD|$6000 DK)
99% Snap Share. 36 targets, 23 receptions, 300 yards, Two TDs.
Christian Kirk is out so that’s going to give Fitz a nice boost in looks. The Bengals look decent against the pass, but with David Johnson in such a good spot I just see this Cardinals offense being able to stay on balance and effectively throw the ball just as well as they will run it on Sunday.
NFL DFS WR: Tyler Boyd (CIN) ($6700 FD|$6500 DK)
87% Snap Share. 38 Targets, 27 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
Same situation as the Cardinals, John Ross is out for the next 6-8 weeks so Boyd should draw a nice chunk of those targets against a sub-par defense.
NFL DFS RB: Joe Mixon (CIN) ($7100 FD|$6100 DK)
95% Snap Share. 54 touches, 202 yards, One TD.
The Bengals offensive line has been questionable, but the Cardinals surrender nearly 150 yards per game on the ground. Mixon is still looking for his footing on the season and this is as good of a spot as any to find it.
Honorable Mention: Julian Edelman ($6500 FD|$6300 DK), DJ Moore ($5900 FD|$5200 DK), Marquise Brown ($5400 FD|$5700 DK), Aaron Jones ($6800 FD|$5900 DK), Phillip Lindsay ($6700 FD|$4900 DK).
Low Tier/Punts
NFL DFS WR: Will Fuller (HOU) ($5700 FD|$4500 DK)
100% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 14 Receptions, 13 yards per reception.
NFL DFS WR: KeeSean Johnson (ARI) ($4600 FD|$3500 DK)
63% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 11 Receptions, 10 yards per reception.
Christian Kirk is out, boost in targets for Keesean Johnson.
NFL DFS WR: Auden Tate (CIN) ($5300 FD|$3500 DK)
73% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 11 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
I hate Auden Tate’s price on Fanduel but I’m more than fine with the $3500 tag on DK. Tate should see a boost as well with no John Ross.
NFL DFS WR: John Brown (BUF) ($5500 FD|$5100 DK)
90% Snap Share. 34 Targets, 23 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.
NFL DFS WR: Phillip Dorsett (NEP) ($5400 FD|$4900 DK)
71% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 15 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Three TDs.
NFL DFS WR: Calvin Ridley (ATL) ($5400 FD|$4900 DK)
76% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 16 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Two TDs.
NFL DFS TE: Tyler Eifert (CIN) ($4600 FD|$3300 DK)
45% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 11 Receptions, 81 yards, One TD.
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