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NFL DFS Week 8: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

Back by popular demand is the combination article for Week 8 NFL DFS. As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Let’s get after it!

*Please note that just because a player is listed as a cash game option, DOES NOT mean they’re not in play for NFL DFS GPP lineups. I love to get a mixture of both in my GPP builds.

NFL DFS Cash Game Quarterbacks:

  • Jalen Hurts ($8,300 DK / $9,200 FD) – without question the clear QB1 on this slate, but it comes at a significant cost. Usually, I take the route of the cant-miss quarterback, but I don’t love how expensive Jalen Hurts is in what should be a blowout atmosphere for the double-digit favorite Philadelphia Eagles.
  • Tua Tagovailoa ($6,200 DK / $7,700 FD) – the mid-tier, high-upside option going up against the Detroit Lions (31st in pass defense DVOA) in a dome.
  • Sam Ehlinger ($4,000 DK ONLY) – a stone minimum of $4,000 for a quarterback is just too hard to pass up, especially when the ownership is going to be there.

Honorable Mention: Daniel Jones

GPP Favorites:

  • Kyler Murray ($7,500 DK / $8,200 FD) – likely the only quarterback with upside that is close to a Jalen Hurts ceiling game. We haven’t seen it yet, but the AETY Model expects this to be an up-tempo shootout with a lot of fantasy fireworks. Keep an eye out for the offensive line injury report as they’re quite banged up right now.
  • Kirk Cousins ($6,100 DK / $7,800 FD) – on the other side of Kyler Murray is Kirk Cousins. If you have not got the theme of the AETY Model this year, it absolutely loves picking on the Arizona secondary. Cousins will be the forgotten child as he’s priced right next to Tua Tagovailoa and he can pay dividends this week if this game shoots out.

Honorable Mention: Jared Goff, Dak Prescott

NFL DFS Running Backs (Full-Player Pool, GPP & Cash):

  • Derrick Henry ($8,400 DK / $10,000 FD) – hard to avoid a top-tier running back against the Houston Texans right now. Likely a pass for me on FanDuel but will get my exposure on DraftKings where Henry is much more affordable for NFL DFS lineups.
  • Saquon Barkley ($8,100 DK / $9,500 FD)
  • Alvin Kamara ($7,100 DK / $7,800 FD) – low-key a fantastic matchup for Kamara at home against the Raiders’ defense who grade 20th in run defense DVOA and 23rd in DVOA against opposing running backs. The Raiders will likely show a decent bit of Cover-2 and bring a lot of blitz… that’s where Alvin Kamara gets targeted at a high-clip (on top of a very high receiving baseline).
  • Kenneth Walker III ($6,500 DK / $8,400 FD) – still way too cheap on DraftKings for the expected usage and matchup against the Giants’ 30th ranked run defense (DVOA).
  • Tony Pollard ($6,100 DK / $6,300 FD) – no Ezekiel Elliott, take the free square on the best value running back this week.
  • Raheem Mostert ($5,900 DK / $6,800 FD) – starting to get a full, RB1 workload and a matchup against the Detroit Lions (29th in run defense DVOA). Just like last week when we played Elliott in this spot, there is significant multiple touchdown equity against this defense.

Honorable Mention: Miles Sanders (GPP only), D’Onta Foreman (Hubbard is OUT, cheap plug and play)

NFL DFS Cash Game Wide Receivers

  • Davante Adams ($8,600 DK / $8,500 FD) – likely no Lattimore again this week (as if it matters for Davante Adams anyways).
  • Tyreek Hill ($8,500 DK / $8,700 FD) – Tyreek will be the nut-chalk wide receiver on this slate and for good reason. This is an absolute smash spot, but I do have my concerns with Detroit’s ability to keep up the pace. If they can, this will be a back-and-forth, fantasy gold NFL DFS matchup.
  • DeAndre Hopkins ($7,400 DK / $7,900 FD) – there is so many great wide receivers on this slate. I have DeAndre Hopkins with as high of an expected target share as anyone on this slate and the price is fantastic. With Hopkins running most of his routes on the inside, he’ll have the opportunity to feast on Chandon Sullivan.
  • Chris Olave ($6,000 DK / $6,900 FD) – way too cheap and in a fantastic matchup.
  • DJ Moore ($5,300 DK / $6,200 FD) – similar to Chris Olave, way too cheap for the wide receiver with the highest team target-share over the past two weeks. A.J. Terrell is going to miss this game and that will open up a lot for DJ Moore. The pace of this game will be gross, so temper expectations a bit for NFL DFS GPP lineups although the value still warrants a roster spot.

Honorable Mention: Garrett Wilson, Wan’Dale Robinson, Tyler Lockett

GPP Favorites:

  • Justin Jefferson ($9,100 DK / $9,000 FD) – Mr. Wilson! The weekly pick-on Marco Wilson matchup… this time, it’s the best wide receiver in the NFL. Adam Thielen will also get a lot of Marco as well and I love the discount there.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown ($6,900 DK / $7,200 FD)
  • Jaylen Waddle ($6,700 DK / $7,800 FD)
  • Phillip Dorsett ($3,200 DK / $5,300 FD) – Dorsett will be an under-the-radar core play for me in GPP lineups (if Nico Collins is ruled out). I love attacking the Titans’ secondary and Dorsett is playing to make a name for himself after he’s disappeared from the league in recent history. As long as the Titans can score at will and King Henry runs wild, Dorsett and the Texans offense will have to abandon the running game early, and he’ll line up as the X wide receiver. It’s very likely to disappoint, but if he can find a way to get 10+ points, he’ll be a 2% owned, NFL DFS salary relief savior.

Honorable Mention: A.J. Brown, Cooper Kupp, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup

NFL DFS Tight-Ends (Full-Player Pool, GPP & Cash):

  • Zach Ertz ($5,100 DK / $6,000 FD)
  • T.J. Hockenson ($4,900 DK / $6,300 FD)
  • Pat Freiermuth ($3,900 DK / $5,700 FD)
  • Irv Smith ($3,500 DK / $5,000 FD)
  • Juwan Johnson ($3,200 DK / $5,200 FD)

Honorable Mention: George Kittle, Cole Kmet, Tyler Higbee

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • New England Patriots
  • New York Jets
  • Los Angeles Rams
  • Washington Commanders

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (Cash Games)

  • Tony Pollard
  • Chris Olave
  • DJ Moore
  • Kenneth Walker
  • DeAndre Hopkins

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and DFS slate.

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