NFL DFS Week 7: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

After a monster Week 6, we’re right back in the saddle for a very spread out Week 7 NFL DFS slate. Due to another week-long work trip, I’ll keep this week’s NFL DFS Cash Game article a bit more brief, and add my GPP plays as well. We can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up).

NFL DFS Cash Game Quarterbacks

• Lamar Jackson ($8,000 DK / $8,800 FD) – highest floor, highest ceiling, and the highest ownership on the slate.
• Justin Herbert ($7,200 DK / $8,100 FD) – best matchup on the slate for a quarterback who will throw it 40 times a game. I’m truly only interested if Keenan Allen is IN, but he’s safe enough for cash either way.
• Joe Burrow ($6,900 DK / $8,300 FD) – fantastic price on DraftKings and a core play for me in all formats of NFL DFS lineups this week. Usually, I do not love playing stacks against the Falcons’ insanely slow pace of play, but the Bengals are extremely pass-heavy lately and letting Burrow do damage behind an improving offensive line.
• Tom Brady ($6,300 DK / $7,400 FD)

GPP Favorites:

• Aaron Rodgers ($6,000 DK / $7,100 FD) – 2% owned Rodgers is a bit scary as this offense has been a train-wreck for most of 2022, but the AETY Model seems to believe this is an absolute blow-up spot for the Packers’ offense on the road against a banged-up and overall struggling Washington secondary.
• Patrick Mahomes ($7,800 DK / $8,500 FD) – outside of Lamar Jackson, highest floor and highest ceiling on the slate at 5% ownership.

NFL DFS Cash Game Running Backs

• Austin Ekeler ($8,300 DK / $9,500 FD)
• Josh Jacobs ($6,500 DK / $8,600 FD) – highest owned running back on the slate. Ride the ownership wave in cash and I’m fine if you play him in NFL DFS GPP lineups due to the fantastic matchup and top-tier usage.
• Kenneth Walker ($5,800 DK / $7,300 FD) – free square on DraftKings and like Josh Jacobs, the ownership will be through the roof. In this matchup and high-total game environment, he’s a fine play in all formats.
• Joe Mixon ($7,000 DK / $7,100 FD) – lock play in cash on FanDuel, but certainly in play on DraftKings as well. The Bengals have a 27-point implied team total, you will want exposure to this offense.
• Breece Hall ($6,200 DK / $7,600 FD)

GPP Favorites:

• Ezekiel Elliott ($6,000 DK / $6,900 FD) – surprisingly high usage lately and a smash matchup with significant multiple-touchdown upside against the Lions’ 31st ranked run defense (DVOA). Like Mixon, the Cowboys implied team total is the highest on this slate. Get exposure somewhere!
• Leonard Fournette ($7,700 DK / $8,400 FD)
• Nick Chubb ($8,000 DK / $8,900 FD)

NFL DFS Cash Game Wide Receivers

• CeeDee Lamb ($6,800 DK / $7,700 FD)
• Deebo Samuel ($7,600 DK / $7,700 FD)
• Davante Adams ($8,700 DK / $8,600 FD)
• Tyler Lockett ($5,800 DK / $6,800 FD)
• Romeo Doubs ($5,000 DK / $5,800 FD) – the cheap punt-play wide receiver chalk on the slate.

GPP Favorites:

• Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,100 DK / $7,500 FD) – 10% ownership projection in a game where the Lions are playing catchup… not to mention the matchup against Jourdan Lewis on the inside.
• Tee Higgins ($6,400 DK / $7,100 FD) – the Bengals double stack is always in play but I love the matchup for Higgins against the Falcons’ cover-3 defense.
• Allen Lazard ($6,100 DK / $6,600 FD) – the AETY Model’s #4 matchup for any wide receiver on this slate and we’re getting an insane discount.
• Michael Gallup ($5,100 DK / $6,100 FD) – cheap exposure to this Dallas offense. Excellent matchup for Gallup against this horrific Lions’ secondary.
• Alec Pierce ($4,600 DK / $6,100 FD) – the number 5 matchup for opposing wide receivers according to the AETY Model. If there’s any sniff of an up-tempo pace, Pierce will absolutely destroy his value on DraftKings.
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,400 DK / $5,600 FD) – shout-out to Juju Smith-Schuster for the monster output last week for us while chalk MVS disappointed the field. This week, I’m fine with going all the way down to Valdes-Scantling against the 49ers Cover-4 and Cover-3 defensive looks. This is a matchup he should thrive in.

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

• Travis Kelce ($8,000 DK / $8,300 FD)
• Mark Andrews ($7,400 DK / $8,500 FD)
• Greg Dulcich ($2,500 DK / $4,000 FD) – in cash games, take the free square on the punt tight-end unless you can pay up for one of the two above. Dulcich will be 60% owned in NFL DFS cash game contests.
• Foster Moreau – with Russell Wilson OUT, I’m moving the pay-down option to Moreau,

GPP Favorites:

• George Kittle ($5,300 DK / $6,600 FD) – if Trent Williams is IN, this matchup against Kansas City should offer a coming out party for all George Kittle fantasy managers. This is the week against the blitz-heavy, Cover-4 Chiefs’ defense.
• Robert Tonyan ($4,100 DK / $5,500 FD)
• Evan Engram ($3,300 DK / $5,200 FD)

NFL DFS Cash Game Defense/Special Teams

• Dallas Cowboys
• Denver Broncos
• New York Giants
• Indianapolis Colts
• New York Jets

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (Cash Games)

• Tom Brady
• Josh Jacobs
• Kenneth Walker
• CeeDee Lamb
• Foster Moreau

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