Jared Levitt 
Tonight’s game is shaping up to be a wet one folks. With it being wet and 2 mediocre to less than mediocre quarterbacks leading the offenses the tonight I see can this game being predominantly on the ground. Let’s take a look to see where we can find some plays for tonight.
Captain (1.5X) – Alvin Kamara ($19.2k DK/$16k FD)
I fully expect Alvin Kamara to be the overwhelming chalk tonight. While he is extremely pricey in the captain spot, there’s no one in this game that’s going to provide us the upside that Kamara is going to bring. Going into the bye week last week Kamara had 3 straight games of at least 100 all purpose yards.
Not only has Kamara been dominant, he’s also facing a Seahawks defense tonight that has been one of the worst against running backs all year. Only the New York Jets have given up more DraftKings points per week than the Seahawks. Between his pure ability and the match up, who else in this environment is going to provide us with that type of upside?
Flex
The flex position is going to be where we need “shake things up.” With the entire game tonight expected to be in the rain, do we get a little crazy and play at least one, if not both defenses? Geno Smith ($9.4k DK/$14k FD) has now played in 2 games since Russell Wilson went down with an injury. He threw an interception in the first game and then fumbled the ball in the second half in his last game.
Can we count on at least 1 int/fumble from Smith and the Seahawks offense tonight? Could the weather help lead to multiple fumbles or interceptions form Geno? I think so! My lean right now would be to play the Saints Defense ($5.8k) over the Seahawks Defense ($2.8k).
Jameis Winston ($11.8k DK/$16.5k FD) had arguably his best game since leaving FSU last weekend vs. the WFT. If the weather was a bit better tonight I’d seriously consider using Winston as the Seahawks have given up at least 300 yards passing in 4 of their 6 games this season. Even with the bad weather, I think we can make a case for using Winston tonight.
Another thing we could do is just use all the big weapons from Saints as Marquez Callaway ($8.6k DK/$10.5k FD) is coming off his best game of this season 2 weeks ago where he caught 4 passes for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Seahawks D is not good (trash) and we should treat them as such until they prove otherwise.
If we switch gears to the Seahawks Rashaad Penny ($2.6k DK/$10k FD) is expected to return from the IR tonight and he said on Friday he should be able to play without any limitations. If that’s the case, I expect him to extremely popular as he opens up a ton of salary for us.
The one problem here is that the Saints D has been one of the best against running backs all year. Running backs have only scored on average 20 DK points per game. That’s more than 10 less than the Seahawks give up. The other back for the Seahawks we could consider is former Raven Alex Collins ($7.4k DK/$12k FD).
Collins has seen an increased workload over the last few weeks but with Penney expected back tonight, I doubt we see that trend continue. That said, he’s still very affordable in a game that the Seahawks should run a ton in.
In regards to DK Metcalf ($10k DK/$13.5k FD) and Tyler Locket ($9k DK/$11.5k FD), I just don’t know if I can stomach paying that much for them when they have a guy like Geno Smith throwing to them. We’ve seen a downward trend in performance for both of them, some of it Smith related, some not so much. They are pricey and their talent is worldly, but I just won’t go there tonight with Smith as their QB.
Because I do think that the Seahawks struggle scoring points tonight, I’m going to do something that I hate in fantasy and that’s use a kicker. Jason Myers ($4k DK/$8.5k FD), you better not disappoint. He scored in double digits last week for the first time this season. With the offense limited compared to what they normally are with Wilson calling plays, I can see Myers getting at least another 10 points tonight.
Summary
The Saints are currently 4 point favorites tonight. I think the Saints blow out the Seahawks tonight and I’ll want to prioritize getting in their weapons. Kamara is the chalk captain, but you could also make the case for either Winston or Callaway. Not a strong case, but a case nonetheless.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
