NFL DFS GPP: Stix Picks for Week 7

To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time for us to stay hot. We absolutely smashed NFL DFS GPP lineups last week and should do so again in Week 7. Thank you all again for the kind words on the huge week last week! For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 7 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.

In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.

Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.

*Keep in mind, for the stack options, you obviously do not need to use everyone listed. You can always just use one or two of those players if that fits your build more appropriately*

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

*Obviously, Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray are the popular QBs on this slate. Get exposure to them and feel free to use them in your main NFL DFS GPP lineups if that’s what you prefer. Here are some other QBs that I have a lot of interest in…

1. Josh Allen – Usually, I would be heavily against using a quarterback as double-digit favorite, but the Bills are going to come out playing fast and step on the throat early in this game. I’m always interested in a ~5% owned Josh Allen.
   
   John Brown is out, so simply stack him with Stefon Diggs.
   
2. Matt Stafford – I simply have no idea how Stafford’s ownership projections are so low (less than 5%). This is the absolute nuts matchup for opposing quarterbacks and this game offers no defense whatsoever. Whatever defense their is in Atlanta is geared towards stopping the run. It’s going to shoot out and you’ll want a piece of it.
   
   Potential Stack(s):
   Golladay/Jones
   Golladay/Hockenson
   Golladay/Swift
   
   Potential Game Stack(s):
   Golladay/M. Jones /Julio/Ridley
   Golladay/M. Jones /Julio/Gurley
   Golladay/Hockenson/Julio/Ridley
   ETC… (so many combinations you can play around with)
   
3. Patrick Mahomes – Mahomes grades out as the third best QB in the AETY Model this week and no one is going to play him. Keep an eye on the weather in Denver as it currently looks gross. If it clears up a bit, I’ll have Mahomes simply because he will be un-owned.
   
   Weather is absolutely brutal. Fading.
   
   Honorable Mention: Joe Burrow, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady

Running Backs

1. Kareem Hunt – All in on Kareem Hunt this week. I love Kamara a ton as well (as everyone does), so I’m trying to pair these two together as much as possible WITHOUT using Gio Bernard as the third RB. Everyone and their mother will be using that trio together.
   
2. Ezekiel Elliott – Zeke around 5% ownership? I don’t love him this week, but the model still thinks there’s a lot of upside with Elliott this week in what should be a surprisingly up-paced game.
   
3. Ronald Jones – I don’t know why people aren’t rostering RoJo AGAIN this week. He was my second highest-owned running back last week and is likely to be in the top-three again this week. Tampa runs the ball so well and the Raiders rank 31st in run defense DVOA. RoJo is going for 20+ yet again in Week 7.
   
4. Jerick McKinnon – Another team that is extremely efficient running the football is Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers. The Patriots have been rather suspect against the run this season (they’re still a good run defense) but I trust this outside-zone scheme to pay control the pace against New England.
   
   With no Mostert and a questionable tag on Jeff Wilson, McKinnon should be in for a large workload at a very reasonable price.
   
5. Antonio Gibson – While everyone goes to pay down for Gio Bernard, I’ll do everything in my power to move up to Gibson. This is strictly to get off of Gio Bernard in addition to me being in love with Gibson this week for NFL DFS GPP lineups. Dallas is absolutely awful at defending the run (29th in run defense DVOA).
   
   Honorable Mention: Jamaal Williams, D’Andre Swift, Josh Kelley (big bump up is Justin Jackson is out), James Conner, La’mical Perine

Wide Receivers

1. Kenny Golladay – All in on Kenny G this week against Atlanta.
   
2. Stefon Diggs – Pair em’ up with Josh Allen or run him solo as a pivot off of the chalky top-priced wideouts. No one in this Jets’ secondary can handle Diggs and his elite route running.
   
3. Julio Jones / Calvin Ridley – This game is going to shootout. Get exposure to it!
   
4. Odell Beckham – I always play Odell Beckham when he’s going completely under the radar. At only $6.1K, I will have a lot of Beckham in my Joe Burrow/Bengals stacks. Feel free to use Hunt/Beckham on the other side. I love this game’s ability to shootout at low ownership. LeShaun Sims in coverage may be one of the worst cover corners in the NFL.
   
5. DJ Moore – I have so much Kamara and want to run it back with someone from Carolina. I was on the fence between Robby Anderson and DJ Moore, but have officially decided it will be DJ Moore for me. Anderson is out of my player pool and I hope that doesn’t kill me.
   
6. Marquez Valdes-Scantling – I will also include a speedy wideout against Vernon Hargreaves. MVS is consistently racking up a ton of air-yards and he is absolutely primed up for a blowup game. I’m quite confident this is the week.
   
   Honorable Mention: Tyreek Hill, Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, AJ Green, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Damiere Byrd, CeeDee Lamb

NFL DFS GPP Tight Ends

1. Hunter Henry – The AETY Model has Henry projected for 6.02 catches which just just barely behind Travis Kelce. His price is way too low this weekend.
   
2. Noah Fant – Fant is probably my favorite GPP tight end this weekend as no one is going to play him. He is by far the most talented pass catcher that is healthy for Denver in a game where they’re going to be chasing points right from the get-go. He should have a field day against the weak part of the Chiefs’ defense (their linebacking core).
   
3. Dalton Schultz – No idea why he’s $3,900 on DraftKings. I don’t expect a lot of defense to be played in Washington on Sunday and Schultz/Gibson or Schultz/McLaurin make for perfect salary relief, mini-stacks.
   
   Honorable Mention: TJ Hockenson, Harrison Bryant, Hayden Hurst, Darren Fells

Good luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!

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