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NFL DFS Cash Games – Week 14 Checkdown

Welcome to Week 14 of the NFL Season! Hopefully you all made the playoffs in your season long leagues and are ready to continue cashing in your NFL DFS Cash Games. We’ve had an incredible season so far here at Win Daily and welcome you all in for another week of cashing – last week’s Cash Game Checkdown included a sample lineup that again crossed the pay lines with 152.82 DraftKings’ points!

Let’s get right back at it for Week 14 which has a main slate of 13 games. It’s safe to say that our player pools are going to be the biggest they’ve been in months.

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My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites. Please check back in on Saturday/Sunday morning for potential NFL DFS Cash Games updates!

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help NFL DFS players make the most of their investments.

Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week 14, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

  • UPDATE 12/5 – I’m most likely moving off of CMC to pay up at WR a bit more. TBD.
  • The player pool is huge this week. There are a ton of great value plays at every position which should allow us to come up with multiple, cash-optimal builds.
  • My NFL DFS Cash Game build for Week 14 will probably start with locking in Devonta Freeman.
  • BILAL POWELL CHALK WEEK: It’s gross, but you probably can’t fade him in cash.
  • Plenty of value and positive game-scripts for the cheaper QBs. You can’t go wrong with Lamar Jackson, but you probably don’t need him.
  • Just because a player is not mentioned in this article, does not mean they are not cash viable.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

  1. Lamar Jackson ($7,400) – He is matchup proof and always cash viable.
  2. Aaron Rodgers ($6,800) – Rodgers at home, under $7k and going up against the Redskins’ secondary… where do we sign?
  3. DeShaun Watson ($6,500) – Simply just too low of a price for Watson at home. He’s going to put up 16+ DraftKings’ points despite a somewhat tough matchup against Denver.
  4. Ryan Tannehill ($5,800) – Oakland’s pass defense is terrible and Tannehill is absolutely in the zone right now averaging over 23 DraftKings’ points over his last six games.
  5. Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,600) – Love this price and I love this matchup. Garoppolo rarely has blow-up fantasy performances but if you take out last week’s matchup in the rain, against a stout Ravens’ pass defense, Garoppolo has averaged 24.45 DraftKings’ points in his previous four games.

    The Saints have a solid defense in general, but they’ve given up an average of 293 yards passing and over two touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in their last three games. If Garoppolo can get anywhere near that average, he’ll easily hit value at this very affordable price-tag.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

  1. Christian McCaffrey ($10,300) – Do we need to say anything about Christian McCaffrey? The floor is as high as anyone in the game right now.
  2. Nick Chubb ($8,000) – I am a little less high on Chubb as I would like to be, due to the fact that Kareem Hunt is clearly taking the majority of the running back passing work. Having said that, Chubb is still in play this week. Cincinatti ranks 27th in run DVOA and the Browns are almost a double-digit home favorite, which is always something I’m interested in when handicapping DFS running backs.

    I have Chubb projected for 22 touches, 119 all-purpose yards and a touchdown which is more than enough to hit value for us in cash.
  3. Leonard Fournette ($7,800) – Fournette has been PPR gold all season long and will continue to be the main focal point of this Jaguars offense. Over the last three games, Fournette has been targeted 30 times in the passing game and has came down with 25 receptions!

    The Chargers’ defense has been giving up over 30 DraftKings’ points per game to opposing running backs over the past month and will continue to get torched by Fournette this week. If for some reason he can’t get things going on the ground, he will make up for it in the passing game (the Chargers give up the 7th most receptions to opposing running backs). Fournette is one of my favorite cash plays on the slate.
  4. Melvin Gordon ($6,400) – This should be a positive gamescript for Gordon to play 65% or more of the Chargers’ offensive snaps (as I don’t see Jacksonville being able to run up the score as a three-point underdog). Jacksonville ranks 31st in run DVOA and have given up over 36 DraftKings’ points to opposing running backs over their last three games!
  5. Joe Mixon ($5,800) – Mixon is coming to life here as the 2019 NFL Season comes to a close as he’s averaged 15.5 DraftKings’ points per game during the last month. Cleveland has one of the weaker rush defenses in the league (ranked 23rd in run DVOA) and Mixon appears to finally have a three-down role and will continue to be active in both the running and passing attacks this week.
  6. Devonta Freeman ($5,400) – Smash spot for Freeman. He came back last week to a very heavy workload with over 65% of the Falcons’ offensive snaps. EVERYONE runs all over this Carolina defense and Freeman’s price is simply too low. Lock him in against the team ranked 32nd in run DVOA. Freeman is my favorite play on this slate when evaluating points-per-dollar.
  7. Alexander Mattison ($4,500) – Although Dalvin Cook claims he’s good to go for Sunday’s game against Detroit, I just don’t see that happening. This should be a very winnable game for the Vikings if Matt Stafford is ruled out, yet again. I don’t see Minnesota risking Cook’s health for the playoffs simply to suit up against a banged up Lions’ squad. If Cook misses, Mattison is an auto-play. Cook is IN, but Mattison is still in play for GPPs.
  8. Bilal Powell ($3,500) – Eat the chalk, I guess.

Wide Receivers

  1. Michael Thomas ($8,300) – This is a tough matchup on paper, but I’m almost positive Michael Thomas is my top WR for DraftKings’ cash games this week. Thomas was $2k more expensive two weeks ago. Take the savings.
  2. Davante Adams ($8,000) – We love Aaron Rodgers. We love his number one target who lines up all over the field and will dominate the Redskins’ secondary.
  3. Mike Evans ($7,200) – Evans is going to be matched up against Pierre Desir and Rock Ya-Sin all game long. This is a serious advantage for Mike Evans who is a lock to see eight or more targets each week and plenty of slate-breaking, touchdown upside.
  4. DeVante Parker ($6,900) – The price finally went up for DeVante Parker but he’s been playing like a $7,500 wide receiver lately. Fitzpatrick absolutely loves chucking him the ball and that won’t stop this week against the New York Jets. The price is a bit much for me, but it’s hard to not love Parker as he’s seen double-digit targets in each of the last four games.
  5. Odell Beckham ($6,300) – I’m expecting a big outing from this Browns offense against the Bengals who rank 31st in pass DVOA. The price keeps dropping for Beckham and this is a perfect time to take advantage of the savings. He should give B.W. Webb and William Jackson all they can handle in coverage.
  6. Tyler Boyd ($5,900) – Welcome back Tyler Boyd. As long as A.J. Green is injured, Boyd is almost a lock play in PPR formats at this price tag. Boyd is going to see a lot of T.J. Carrie in coverage against Cleveland and that is a matchup Boyd should feast in.
  7. Emmanuel Sanders ($5,800) – Sanders was priced up in the mid $6k range just a few weeks ago. Now is the time to buy in at $5,800 in a matchup where he will see a lot of P.J. Williams (arguably the worst cover corner in the NFL). This game may be a bit run-heavy on both sides, but I have confidence in Garoppolo and Sanders both hitting value this week.
  8. Robby Anderson ($5,100) – It seems every year Robby Anderson starts to come alive towards the end of the fantasy season. That time has arrived and Robby Anderson has been balling of late. Anderson is coming off of back-to-back 18+ fantasy point performances and is in an absolute smash spot against this Miami secondary who ranks dead last in pass DVOA.

    Anderson shouldn’t be considered a “safe” play, but I like his floor and obviously love his ceiling in all formats of fantasy football this week. I also really like Jamison Crowder ($5,300) here against Jomal Wiltz – and you all know I never like Crowder.
  9. Curtis Samuel ($4,900) – It was either D.J. Moore or Curtis Samuel for me this week. I gave the nod to Samuel as his price is significantly cheaper and I love the fact that he runs the majority of his routes in the slot and on the right side of the field where he’ll matchup against Kendall Sheffield and Isaiah Oliver (who are not good).
  10. Mike Williams ($4,500) – I don’t trust this play a whole lot, but if you need salary relief, Mike Williams is an excellent choice. These outside corners in Jacksonville are incredibly beatable and Mike Williams is always a deep ball away from hitting value.
  11. Marcus Johnson ($3,600) – I’ll play Johnson if and ONLY if T.Y. Hilton and Parris Campbell miss this game. With Chester Rogers out for the season, we saw Johnson play a significant role in the Colts’ passing game last week (92% of the snaps). We always like to pick on this Bucs’ secondary, so Johnson makes a lot of sense if you need a salary relief, punt play.

    Parris Campbell ($3,200) – Love Campbell as a punt-play now that he has been a full participant in practice for the first time in over a month. At this price, against this secondary, you can 100% use him in cash if the rest of your lineup is full of high-floor, high-ceiling players.

Tight Ends

  1. Darren Waller ($5,800) – Waller came back to life last week with a 20-point outing and should continue that success against the Titans’ defense who have given up over 18 DraftKings’ points per game to opposing tight-ends in their past three games.
  2. Jack Doyle ($4,800) – With Ebron out for the season, we saw Doyle jump into a significant role in this Colts’ passing attack. Doyle had 19.3 points last week and was one of our cash-game locks of the week. Tampa Bay is terrible at covering tight-ends… lock and load Mr. Doyle!
  3. Vance McDonald ($4,300) – I don’t think I’ll be playing McDonald, but this is your weekly tight-end against the Cardinals play.
  4. Ian Thomas ($2,500) – Hello value! It doesn’t appear Greg Olsen (concussion) will suit up for this game in Atlanta, so this should be all systems go for Ian Thomas. We saw Thomas excel in this role towards the end of last season when Olsen is out. This is as close as you’ll get to a cash game free-square this week.

Defense/Special Teams

  • Green Bay Packers ($4,000)
  • Minnesota Vikings ($3,800)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers ($3,500)
  • Baltimore Ravens ($2,900)
  • San Francisco 49ers ($2,700)
  • Indianapolis Colts ($2,400)

NFL DFS Cash Games Sample Lineup

QB: Jimmy Garoppolo
RB: Christian McCaffrey
RB: Devonta Freeman
WR: Tyler Boyd
WR: Parris Campbell
WR: Mike Evans
TE: Ian Thomas
FLEX: Melvin Gordon
DST: Pittsburgh Steelers

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