Dave Gloeckner 
Here we go! Well, at least it’s a quiet week from that standpoint as the Cowboys are off on a bye. But we did assess the Cowboys correctly last week as we were all over the Lions who thrashed Dallas in a beatdown for the ages. However, once again, a middling week as we are stuck in neutral with a 2-2 mark. Don’t fret, as I’m confident the wins are coming, and I’m feeling really good about the card in Week 7. If you didn’t see the news, the books got hammered last week and took a massive beating to the public. Overall, the public went 11-2-1. Which probably explains my 2-2 record because I’m normally zigging against the public. So you know what that means, Vegas is due for a big one which could be perfectly aligned with my zags below.
As for Survivor, it’s been tough sledding but if you’re sill alive there are picks to be made and potential to bring home a big payday. We did hit on all of our picks last week including the Eagles. Which is good news because frankly, they stink. So getting the Birds out of the way will help pave the way to success here going forward.
NFL BETS WEEK 7 (2024 SEASON RECORD: 11-13)
TENNESSEE TITANS +9.5 at BUFFALO BILLS
The Titans are bad, but mainly because of their QB play. Because of that, they are shifting gears and moving off of Will Levis and handing the reigns to Mason Rudolph. The latter has played one game this season, in relief, and propelled the Titans to their lone victory over the Dolphins. Rudolph has proved he can play in this league and gives the Titans a much better chance than the Mayonnaise King (Will Levis).
Also, we’re seeing 88% of the money coming in on Buffalo. That’s the highest amount for any team on the slate tomorrow. We saw the public win last week but I don’t see it happening two weeks in a row. Also, Buffalo is coming off a Monday night game and on a short week which is always a bettors angle to take. So I’ll fade the herd and back the Titans in a game where I expect them to be competitive throughout.
GREEN BAY PACKERS -2.5 vs HOUSTON TEXANS
The Texans looked to get back on track last week with a convincing win over the Patriots. But the key part of this is they did it against a very bad team in New England. And it was QB Drake Maye’s first career start which exemplified the precarious condition of the Patriots. On the other hand, the Packers took care of business at home against a Cardinals team that was coming off a thrilling victory against the 49ers. In that game, the Packers outgained the Cards by 134 yards and won the turnover battle 3 to 1.
The Packers are seeing just 17% of the money as of this writing. The public is very high on the 5-1 Texans but I think the better team resides on the other sideline. I’ll back the Pack to continue their winning streak and get their 3rd straight victory this Sunday at Lambeau Field.
MIAMI DOLPHINS +3.5 at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
The Colts are dreadful on defense. The Dolphins are returning from a BYE week and saw plenty of film on the 19th ranked defense according to DVOA. While I have questions about HC Mike McDaniel, he had a full week to prepare for the Colts which should bode well for his team. And he gets the luxury of having RB De’von Achane return to the lineup who missed the last 1.5 games with a concussion.
The Colts are welcoming the return of a star on their side too, as QB Anthony Richardson is expected to start. But he’s struggled mightily this season completing just 50.6% of his passes and throwing 6 INT’s to just 3 TD’s. They will also be without RB Jonathan Taylor which is a big deal as Miami ranks 31st in rushing defense DVOA.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ers -1.5 vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
This is all about Super Bowl revenge. The Eagles beat the Chiefs last year in a similar role. And the 49ers are desperate for a win. I like San Fran to play their best game of the season this week and start getting on a role towards the top of the NFC once again.
SURVIVOR PICK
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
While I do think the Commanders are a playoff contender, they aren’t an easy team to take in Survivor based on their upcoming schedule and opponents. But this is the week that we have an opportunity to check off a middle of the pack team. That’s because Washington is hosting the worst team in football this week in the Carolina Panthers. Daniels should have his way and help lead the Commanders to their 5th win on the season and help Washington stay atop the NFC East.
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