Dave Gloeckner 
One play in the NFL season has defined our year to date. The Hail Mary in Washington took us from a winning week to a losing week, in just a few short seconds. The way this season has gone, it really came as no surprise. We tailed Jameis and the Jags, both in underdog roles, to get us two needed wins. But the 3rd win is still elusive as the craziest of plays seems to go against us this season. Have no fear, we chug ahead and have some good data and insight to push us up the ladder this week.
As for Survivor, it’s been tough sledding but if you’re sill alive there are picks to be made and potential to bring home a big payday. We did hit on our pick last week with the Lions.
NFL BETS WEEK 9 (2024 SEASON RECORD: 14-19)
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +7.5 at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
The Jags have played better football the last few weeks. But that doesn’t change the fact that they are just 2-6 and 2.5 games out of a playoff spot. At this point, it looks like HC Doug Pederson is coaching for his job as the Jaguars owner deemed this team the most talented he’s had but the results are yet to show. So I expect Pederson to be as aggressive as ever making them a dangerous team.
As for the Eagles, they are coming off their best game in 2 years as they dominated Cincy 37-17. They also have two huge divisional games on deck with the Cowboys on deck for Week 10 and the Commanders sitting behind them as the Week 11 opponent. Have you hear the term “trap game”? This looks like one here in Philly so I’ll take the points with the road team.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +1.5 vs LA RAMS
The Seahawks are playing like Jeckyl and Hyde this season. They came out of the gates hot, going 3-0 and looking like a contender in the NFC. But recent losses to the Giants, 49ers and Bills have set them back to the 0.500 mark and they now look like sellers at the trade deadline. On the other side, the Rams are trending upwards with two straight wins. Last week they handed the Vikings their first loss of the season.
But I’m going back to Seattle here as the Rams pass defense is an issue. DVOA ranks the Rams as the 27th best pass defense and PFF has them as the 2nd worst coverage team. Seattle ranks in the top 7 in most passing categories, including a league leading 262.5 passing yards per game.
TENNESSEE TITANS -3 vs NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Patriots QB Drake Maye is questionable with a head injury. I’d be surprised if he plays as New England needs to take the long game with their prized QB. But the Patriots did surprise many last week with an upset of their bitter rivals in the Jets. So emotions are flying high with NE. On the other side, the Titans looked good for about 15 minutes last week. And then 52-14 happened. So these are two teams with different trajectories coming into their Week 9 matchup. Yet, I’m going with the Titans to get their 2nd win of the season this week. The Patriots and Jets are rivals and anything can happen in divisional games. The Titans got blown out, but it was by the best team in football right now in Detroit. The public only sees the recent results but if we look back, NE was outscored 73-37 in the two weeks leading up to Week 8. I’ll go where the sharp money is and back Tennessee this week.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -1.5 at CLEVELAND BROWNS
The Jameis Winston story was great last week. And we can see the emotion he brings to the team which helped propel them to a huge divisional upset over the Ravens. But on any given week Jameis can taketh away too. He’s either good for 3 TD’s or 3 INT’s. And versus a top 10 defense, I like the Chargers and Jim Harbaugh to be receivers of the bad Jameis this week. Afterall, it would be a Cleveland thing to do following a great win.
BONUS DISCORD BET (Posted by 12pm on Sunday): DOLPHINS +6.5 over BILLS
SURVIVOR PICK
BALTIMORE RAVENS
The Ravens will come into this game fuming from their loss in Cleveland. Bo Nix has been good but this is too much of a task to ask him to keep up with one of the best offenses in the league.
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