NBA GPP Picks 2/7
Today we have a five-game slate NBA slate for NBA GPP Picks 2/7. This slate is obviously overshadowed by the Super Bowl and DraftKings doesn’t have huge contests for NBA today. It is a pretty ugly slate with mostly slow good defensive teams playing. We Paul George and Pj Washington are two notable players listed as questionable today.
We do have a handful of players ruled out already with Jaylen Brown, Mike Conley, Devonte Graham, and Gordan Dragic. That should make for an interesting five-game afternoon slate. On DraftKings, our highest priced player is Jayson Tatum at $9,400 which is no surprise with Smart and Brown out. In this article, I will name at least one player from each position that strikes my interest on this given slate. Due to the smaller slate and several unattractive games, I may like a certain position or games over others. Let’s roll into this early Sunday of NBA DFS!
Point Guard
Malcolm Brogdon – ($7,600)
Man do I love this play with Mike Conley out. Instead of drawing Conley defense, Brogdon will see Donovan Mitchell and Jordan Clarkson defense and I will load up on that. We have also seen his price drop to its lowest point since very early in the season. His team-leading 27% usage rate should allow him to pay off this price tag easily. Indiana has been involved in three straight blowouts which led to pour performances by Brogdon. His price is down and due to the recent game log and struggles his ownership should be down too.
Payton Pritchard – ($3,900)
With Smart and Brown already ruled out Boston has guard minutes to be filled. Pritchard returned from an extended absence last time out playing 19 minutes. His minutes should be increased to around 25 here. In Pritchard’s most recent game scoring near 30 fantasy points, he only played 25 minutes so he’s shown he can get there with that time. I like either Pritchard or Carsen Edwards as salary savers from the Celtics.
Shooting Guard
Devin Booker – ($7,400)
Facing a Celtics team that is thin at shooting guard Booker should hold the best positional matchup. He will likely be guarded by Pritchard or Carsen Edwards and I will take all that. Now we get another cheap price tag as Booker also hasn’t been this cheap since before the new year. He is priced cheaper than CP3 but has the highest usage on the team by 8%. Booker was priced almost $1,000 more less than a week ago his floor at this price is just too safe for me.
Jordan Clarkson – ($5,700)
In his last 10 games, Clarkson has scored at least 25 fantasy points in seven of them and that’s with Mike Conley. Granted Mitchell did miss two of those games, that is still impressive. Clarkson is averaging a 25.5% usage rate with Conley out and is averaging 1.03 fantasy points per minute. He should see around 30 minutes if not 30 minutes tonight without Conley. Clarkson should also avoid Malcolm Brogdon’s defense for most of the game. You can play Mitchell too I just think it will be tough if Brogdon guards him.
Small Forward
Kawhi Leonard – ($9,100)
Playing Kawhi becomes a must if PG sits out again as he saw a usage rate of 35% last game without George. Now Leonard draws a better matchup tonight against a Kings team with the worst defensive rating in the NBA this season. Sacramento is also allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to small forwards on the year. His ownership will be much lower if PG13 plays and I don’t mind that either. Regardless of George’s status, I will be playing Kawhi in a fantastic matchup.
Bojan Bogdanovic – ($6,400)
Really finding his stroke lately has Bogdanovic as he has shot 60% from the field in four of his last five games. Three of those four were on the road which supports his 12% better three-point percentage on the road. Now he is traveling to his old home to play Indiana and I like that narrative. With Mike Conley, we get a near 2% usage increase for Bogdanovic. Let’s put the cherry on top and add that Indiana has given up the fifth-most fantasy points to power forwards this season.
Power Forward
Jayson Tatum – ($9,400)
This isn’t a spectacular spot but without Jaylen Brown, Tatum has a massive usage rate. When Brown and Smart are off the floor Tatum is seeing a 35% usage while averaging nearly 1.4 fantasy points per minute. His minutes have been huge recently as well as he’s played 38 minutes in four straight games. Tatum has scored 55 or more fantasy points in two straight games while attempting at least 26 shots in each. If he doesn’t pay off this salary it won’t be from lack of opportunities.
Davis Bertans – ($4,300)
We have seen Bertans record 30 minutes but not able to do much with it. His role is to go out and just chuck three-pointers. An interesting stat on that is his three-point percentage is 20% better (44%) when playing on the road this season. His fantasy points per game on the road is also 6 fantasy points higher. Charlotte is giving up the eighth-most fantasy points to power forwards and second-most fantasy points to small forwards. Another bonus is that this will be the lowest salary Bertans has been since the new year.
Center
Richuan Holmes – ($5,600)
This price is simply too cheap for the upside that Holmes can provide. In his last four games, Holmes has had two that he provided over 40 fantasy points. His minutes have still been there seeing at least 30 minutes in three straight games now. He is strictly a GPP play as he does tend to get in foul trouble but I can’t ignore the upside at this price.
Alex Len – ($4,000)
Playing at least 24 minutes in two straight games is a positive sign for Len. In those two games, he recorded 24.5 and 37.75 fantasy points. Charlotte does play big especially if PJ Washington Is cleared to play. The Hornets are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to center on the season. It is a risky play but he has been showing upside and this is a GPP article.
NBA GPP Picks 2/7
Jazz vs Pacers
Donovan Mitchell – 23.5 points – More – With Conley out this should be an easy task for Mitchell. He should have the ball in his hands as point guard much more now. Tough to argue against that I mean he has scored 30 points in two of his last three games already.
Domontas Sabonis – 20.5 points – More – Prior to the Pacers last game which was a blowout before the second unit got it close Sabonis had scored at least 21 real points in five straight games. He should face an under-sized defender in Bojan Bogdanovic which should make scoring much easier.
Closing NBA GPP Picks 2/7
There Is a decent list of questionable players coming into this Noon slate so Discord Chat will be a good place to be. In Discord, you will find myself and other Win Daily staff members to help answer any questions you may have on today’s slate. My main game targets will be from WAS vs CHA and SAC vs LAC, especially the Clippers game if Paul George remains out. It will be an amazing Sunday full of basketball and obviously Super Bowl Sunday! Be sure to check out the projection’s models and the betting tips we have posted for Sunday’s big game. Enjoy what is left of your weekend and may your screens be green!