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Welcome Back, Everyone! The NBA Christmas Day slate on DraftKings has a total of 5 games and the first match-up tips off at 12:00 P.M. Eastern Time. This article breaks several plays I like at each position and who I’m targeting most. This includes my high cost, value, and sleeper plays. Happy Holiday’s!
-NBA Schedule-
BOS @ TOR – 12:00 P.M. Eastern Time
MIL @ PHI – At 2:30 P.M. Eastern Time
HOU @ GSW – At 5:00 P.M. Eastern Time
LAC @ LAL – At 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time
NO @ DEN – At 10:30 P.M. Eastern Time
Top PG Picks:
Russell Westbrook – DK: ($8,900)
Westbrook has a great match-up tonight going up against Golden State who is currently ranked 23rd in the NBA against opposing PG’s. He played Golden State earlier this season and had just 40 points on FanDuel. However, that was before his recent surge in his production. Westbrook has scored at least 28 points in each of his last four games. On top of that, he has racked up at least 47 points on DraftKings in nine of his last ten. He’s getting to the free-throw line more and has really turned his offensive aggressiveness up a notch. Look for him to have a floor of 46 fantasy points.
Kyle Lowry – DK: ($8,500)
Lowry has quickly become the number one weapon on offense for Toronto due to all the recent injuries. He’s scored at least 46 points on DraftKings in each of his last five games now. He will face off against Boston on Christmas day which figures to be a very competitive game. Lowry dropped 49 fantasy points on Boston once this season proving he is capable of beating their defense. Combine that with how well he is playing right now and you have a solid play tonight. Look for Lowry to have a floor of 40 fantasy points.
George Hill – DK: ($4,300)
Hill is my sleeper pick at the PG position for tonight on DraftKings. He’s been hitting his value consistently when considering how low he’s priced. Hill has put up at least 20 fantasy points in six out of his last seven outings. With Eric Bledsoe out for the near future, Hill will remain entranced in the Bucks rotation. This game will be a very tough match-up, so perhaps the Bucks rely on their veteran PG a little more tonight. If he can get you 20 points on DK, the pick is worth it.
Top SG Picks:
James Harden – DK: ($11,600)
It’s tough to ignore James Harden when he is on the slate in general. It’s even more difficult when his opponent is the Golden State Warriors. Now I know you can’t go off past games to predict how someone will perform. But, Harden dropped 74 fantasy points against Golden State earlier this season. Going off that, he is currently averaging 62.7 fantasy points per game on the season. The Warriors are ranked 19th in the NBA against opposing SG’s. On paper, Harden has a dream match-up tonight. Look for him to have a floor of 55 fantasy points.
Jaylen Brown – DK: ($6,800)
Jaylen Brown has turned into a very consistent source of production for the Celtics this season. He does have an occasional clunker, but his match-up tonight is too good to ignore. Brown already whooped Toronto once this season where he put up 46.8 fantasy points on DraftKings. On top of that, Toronto is ranked 22nd in the NBA against opposing SG’s. Look for him to have a floor of 35 fantasy points.
Alec Burks – DK: ($5,600)
Alec Burks went off against Minnesota last night by putting up a whopping 25 points, 8 assists, 2 rebounds, 3 steals, and 1 block in 34 minutes of action. Surprisingly, he is one of the go-to-guys on the offensive end when he is on the floor. Even though he comes off the bench, he’s put up 30 or more fantasy points in seven of his last ten games on DraftKings. He will remain entranced in the Warriors rotation on Christmas day and he should have a floor of 26 fantasy points.
Top SF Picks:
Giannis Antetokounmpo – DK: ($11,300)
Giannis is a no brainer for the Christmas day slate on DraftKings. Although he has a sky-high price tag, he will be heavily involved against Philadelphia. This is not going to be an easy game and the Bucks are going to have to grind it out. It may not be the prettiest game offensively for Giannis, but you can count on him filling up the rest of the stat sheet. He’s looking at a floor of 55 fantasy points on Christmas day. If he scores 25 or more points, he’ll be looking at a ceiling game.
Brandon Ingram – DK: ($7,700)
Ingram is a great value play on this slate as New Orleans gets set to take on Denver for the second time this season. In the first match-up, Ingram dropped 35 points on DraftKings as the Pelicans breezed by Denver by a final score of 107-122. I don’t think New Orleans will take control of this game, but Denver is having issues putting teams away early in games. That could lead to a solid amount of minutes for all the starters. If that’s the case, Ingram is the guy you want from New Orleans.
Rondae Hollis Jefferson – DK: ($5,300)
Although we are dealing with a super small sample size here, Hollis Jefferson is a great value play. He put up 34 points on FanDuel in each of his last two games and experienced a major bump in minutes. Although the bump in minutes didn’t translate to more production, he’s still flexing a very high floor for his price. As long as the injuries remain, you can expect Hollis Jefferson to continue flirting with 30 or more minutes each night. Look for him to have a floor of 30 against Boston on Christmas day.
Top PF Picks:
Anthony Davis – DK: ($10,100)
I think it’s completely worth it to pay up for Anthony Davis on this slate due to his extremely high floor. In each of his last 7 games, Davis has been able to record at least 49 points on DraftKings. Including 3 games with 60+ fantasy points during that span. He is flashing an extremely high ceiling recently and with LeBron perhaps a little beat up, he hits again on Christmas day. Look for AD to have a floor of 50 fantasy points on Christmas Day’s NBA slate.
Jayson Tatum – DK: ($7,800)
Jayson Tatum had one of the best games in his young career last night against Charlotte. He completely took over the game in the second half and left Charlotte begging for mercy. In the outing, Tatum recorded a career-high 39 points to go along with a season-high 12 rebounds. Earlier in the year Tatum played against Toronto and put up a whopping 50 points on DraftKings. Toronto is dealing with a plethora of injuries at the moment so Tatum will look to exploit the defense early. He is a must-start in my book.
Serge Ibaka – DK: ($7,300)
When Ibaka gets the minutes, he is usually one of the more reliable scoring PF’s in the league. However, this season he has been capped to under 25 minutes per game. That has severely hurt his ceiling and made him essentially unplayable for weeks. But, Toronto has no choice but to play him because of the injuries they are dealing with. Overall, Ibaka has responded well besides the dud he had against Dallas. He has racked up at least 38 points on DraftKings in three out of his last four games now. He will take on Boston on Christmas day and look for him to have a floor of 34 fantasy points.
PJ Tucker – DK: ($4,400)
Tucker is one of those DFS guys that can make or break your lineup given the large disparities in his final lines. He could get you 40 fantasy points one night and then 10 the next while playing 40 minutes in both games. With that being said, if the slate is calling for more value at the PF position, Tucker is a guy I always look for. He’s scored at least 29 fantasy points in six out of his last ten games. Golden State is next up for Tucker and earlier in the season he dropped 45 fantasy points against them. Look for him to have a floor of 25 fantasy points on tonight’s NBA slate.
Top C Picks:
Clint Capella -DK: ($7,500)
Capella is my go-to center for the Christmas Day NBA slate given the lack of depth at the position combined with it being a smaller slate. He is also priced $1,900 cheaper than Nikola Jokic and they both have almost identical floors going into tonight. The difference-maker for me is the easy match-up. Capella is going up against Golden State and they are ranked 16th in the NBA against opposing centers. Earlier in the season, Capella dropped 57 fantasy points on DraftKings against Golden State so he is more than capable of having a monster game. Look for him to have a floor of 40 fantasy points.
Brook Lopez – DK: ($5,200)
Lopez makes for an okay pivot off of Capella if you are in serious need of salary relief at the center position. Lopez is the type of player that gets into grooves and will play very well for a few weeks at a time. Right now he is doing just that. He has recorded at least 31 fantasy points on DK in each of his last three games. Another stat I thought was interesting, Lopez averages 22 fantasy points per game at home this year in 15 games. On the road, Lopez averages 28 fantasy points per game. Again, I don’t 100% love this pick, but if you have to buy down at the position, I’d go with Lopez.
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