NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19
After a monster slate last night with more value than you could shake a stick at, tonight’s slate boasts just three games and almost no value early in the morning. If nothing changes, it could be a puzzle of a slate but this could be a news-packed slate for just three contests. Let’s go through the NBA Roundtable and talk about who we like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19 to find green screens!
One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.
Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:
Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”
Ghost: Balanced unless players get ruled out on the second half of a back-to-back.
Adam: I’ll be looking to make lineups around one stud and balanced after that as things stand in the morning. However, this slate dictates staying tuned to the Discord because four of the six teams played last night. This slate could change dramatically and we could have a stars and scrubs approach handed to us if players sit out.
Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”
Ghost: Luka Doncic.
Adam: Provided he plays, It’s Luka Doncic. I have more faith in him in a back-to-back scenario than I do with LeBron James and we’ve attacked the Charlotte Hornets all season long with great results. There are zero reasons to stop doing that now. Doncic is coming off a rough game last night as far as fantasy points, but I’ll confidently say the odds are he will not shoot 5-20 from the floor once again. The pace the Hornets play at is perfect for Doncic to flirt with a 30-point triple-double tonight.
Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”
Ghost: Darius Garland.
Adam: It will Be LeBron, just by default. I’d be surprised if we could afford both Doncic and LeBron in the same lineups and James played 45 minutes last night. Due respect to one of the greatest players we’ve ever seen, the mileage on his body has to be piling up from this season and many others at this point. It’s a rough turnaround with travel so even though Washington is a strong matchup, I’ll take the young legs and Doncic.
Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”
Ghost: Luka Doncic and Hachimura (Gafford is Porzingis sits out).
Adam: I’m sticking with Dallas and rolling Dwight Powell with Doncic. Powell has been playing at least 22 minutes as of late and is pushing 30 minutes or more most nights. Every now and again he can go off for a huge game (like he did against Houston)and Charlotte is in the bottom-five in rebounds and points in the paint. This duo can rip up the Hornets in the pick-and-roll game as Powell is the roll man at a 28.7% frequency. He’s scoring 2.5 points per game but we can expect more than that tonight. With Spencer Dinwiddie ruled out, the three-man stack of Doncic, Powell, and Jalen Brunson is very appealing.
Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”
Ghost: Dallas beats Charlotte by 10+ behind Doncic’s 30-point effort.
Adam: Luka Doncic outscores every player on the slate by at least 12 fantasy points and no player over $8,500 other than Luka is in the winning lineup.
You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life