DFSGhost 
Only four games on today’s NBA schedule but there are plenty of good spots to pick from. Two teams are missing some key players, making them stick out above the rest, but others cannot go ignored as we look to get to the top of the leaderboards. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.
One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.
Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:
Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)
With Khris Middleton (wrist) ruled out for tonight’s game, my NBA lineups will start with Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks currently hold the tie breaker for the third seed in the Eastern Conference over the Celtics, but are also not only tied with the 76ers for the second seed, but are also a mere 2.5 games back of the one seed. Every game counts, and this is where their best players need to be exactly that. Enter Giannis, who has the potential to lead the NBA slate in scoring with a 1.73 FPPM and 35% usage rate with Middleton off the court this season.
While Giannis will be a building block, do not overlook the potential pairing of he and Jrue Holiday. With Middleton off the court this season, it is Holiday, not Giannis, who sees the biggest increases. Sporting a 23.3% usage rate and 1.10 FPPM on the season, Holiday sees increases to 29.1% and 1.23, respectively, while also getting the desired matchup versus a Bulls perimeter defense that has been vulnerable in the absence of Lonzo Ball.
Golden State Warriors (-8)
With Steph Curry (foot) being ruled out for the foreseeable future after a collision with Marcus Smart, all eyes will be on the Warriors offense and how they adjust without the best shooter of all time. Leading the charge for the Warriors is none other than Jordan Poole, who sees a drastic 5.6% increase in usage rate to 30.6% with Curry off the court, while posting 1.10 FPPM. In a matchup versus an Orlando defense that ranks 22nd in the NBA versus scoring primary ball handlers, Poole has the ceiling of someone I want to get exposure to in the mid range of the pricing grid.
Elsewhere, Klay Thompson has a good chance to lead the team in FGA tonight, but the price tag is a bit lofty for someone that relies on pure scoring to produce fantasy points. Thus, I’ll be turning to the frontcourt for my second Warrior in the form of Draymond Green, Otto Porter Jr., Jonathan Kuminga, or Nemanja Bjelica. This second Warrior as a part of our NBA lineups is contingent on Moses Moody missing a second straight game with a shoulder injury, and an update on Gary Payton II’s minutes, who makes his return to the lineup tonight. Stay tuned in Discord.
You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life
