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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 03/15

With only four games on the NBA schedule tonight, it will be imperative to find ways to get different, especially with one team garnering a ton of interest with their star listed as doubtful. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers (+7)

Simply put, all eyes will be on the Grizzlies lineup tonight. With Ja Morant listed as doubtful, most will start their NBA lineup with two Grizzlies, if not three. In 14 games as a starter this season, Tyus Jones has impressed, posting a 12.1/3.5/6.2 scoring line on a mere 17% usage rate. While he will likely be the highest rostered player on this slate, you need to play him – it’s that simple. Otherwise, both Desmond Bane and Dillon Brooks are far too cheap for their ceilings in this one. Bane sees a mere 1.3% increase in usage rate, but his shot attempts increase drastically as well as a 0.06 rise in FPPM to 1.09, while Brooks is in his second game after returning from injury, looking to ramp things up for the playoffs.

On the flipside of this game, Tyrese Haliburton gets a glorious matchup versus Tyus Jones, but I’d prefer to have Malcolm Brogdon (concussion) miss this game before paying the hefty tag on Haliburton. Otherwise, a handful of Indiana players are questionable once again in what can only be described as a lost season, so this rotation can be awfully bare as we lead up to lock.

Brooklyn Nets

If you’re looking to pay up on this NBA slate, there are a few options, including the duo of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving for the Nets. The advantage to playing KD? He not only offers a stud as a poor forward slot, but he also has the most upside of anyone on this slate. However, this can be a game where Brooklyn gets things going on offense where we see him looking to feed Kyrie whilst KD himself is fresh off a 53/6/9 outing versus the Knicks, where he took a ridiculous 37 FGA in the absence of his teammate. If you can manage to get Kyrie with someone like Jimmy Butler at the forward position, that would be my lean at the time of writing, but all things hinge on the status of CJ McCollum (see below) as to whether I play a Brooklyn stud at all.

Honorable Mention:

  • If CJ McCollum is activated for the Pelicans’ game versus the Suns tonight, I will have a back and forth in that one with a piece of each offense.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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