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NBA DFS Plays and Fades: December 3, 2019

We have a seven-game slate at both FanDuel and DraftKings tonight and plenty of ways for us to go and build successful lineups. The following are my NBA DFS plays and fades for December 3. 2019

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NBA DFS Core

Luka Doncic (11,300)

Luka has failed to hit 55 fantasy points one time in his last 12 games. Tonight he gets a match-up against the Pelicans, who have the third-highest pace on the slate and routinely get destroyed by combo guards. Luka is the only stud that I’m willing to pay up for today.

Brandon Ingram (8,100)

My favorite player to stack with Luka tonight is Brandon Ingram. Ingram has been a 40 point machine this year with 13 such games. Tonight he comes in at an affordable 8,100 against a mediocre at best Mavs team. Ingram has been getting 34 minutes a game at an insane 30.1% usage.

Evan Fournier (6,200)

Fournier gets one of my favorite match-ups this season against the Wizards. The Wizards have been torched by 3 point shooters and forwards so far this season. While Fournier is my favorite play here, Aaron Gordon at 5,700 is also a very interesting value option. Fournier this season has been averaging a fantasy point per minute and seeing about 31 minutes a game. Fire him up tonight!

Damian Lillard (8,400)

If you have followed any of my work this season, then you know I love targeting undervalued players with high ceilings. Lilliard has somehow dropped down to 8,400 even though he’s still a 1.37 fantasy point per minute player. Lillard also has a 30% usage rate and is playing in the highest projected pace game of the slate. Pat Beverley is a good defender but not a good enough defender to take me off of this price point.

NBA DFS Fades

Bradley Beal (8,600)

Beal has a fantastic price tonight. With that said, I still don’t want to play him. On this slate we have so many good guards, there just isn’t room for an underperforming player on a bad team. With guys like Lillard, Harden, Leonard, Butler, and Fournier available, only play Beal if you play multiple lineups.

Anthony Davis (9,600)

Davis is more of a fade because of players with a similar price point. There are a ton of players on tonight’s slate in the 8,000-9,000 range that is underpriced. Siakam, Lillard, George, and Ingram are all better point per dollar plays and are more likely to end up in my lineups.

Blake Griffin (6,700)

Griffin is broken. He has been held under 30 fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games since returning from injury. 6,700 is still too high for a player that has shown no ceiling and a low floor for winning a tournament.

NBA DFS Slate Thoughts

As of right now for a GPP build I’m leaning towards a more balanced build. With the possibility of paying up for Luka and no other player over 9k making it into my lineup. As I stated in the Fade section, there are a ton of players in the mid-price point that should be priced with the studs. Getting more of those into your lineups is my favorite way to currently build this slate. Below is a sample lineup using this thought process.

PG- Lillard, SG- Fournier, SF- Ingram, PF- Gordon, C- Powell, G- DeRozan, F- Kuzma, Util- Lou Williams

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