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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Ghouls 12/16/2019

This article discusses a core for DFS players to build around for today’s FanDuel NBA slate. While there are many different sports and various contests pertaining to DFS along with their respective strategies, we focus on the main approaches to build both reliable cash and GPP lineups for a successful NBA night including pace, the projected over/under, one on one matchups, and a team’s defensive rating. Make sure to stay active when building NBA lineups – if you cannot be in front of a computer, tablet, or on your phone an hour before lock do not throw your money away! NBA DFS lineups can change at the blink of an eye and are the most variable compared to any other sport in DFS; players get injured, some sit for load management, and others find themselves on the DNP list for other reasons; any of which can sway your lineup and where to find value. Stay alert on the WinDaily Discord chat to follow along with our updated plays. GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

PointGuard – Dejounte Murray, San Antonio Spurs ($6,500)

With Coach Gregg Popovich stating that Dejounte Murray is no longer on a minutes restriction last week, we can enjoy one of his last days of being below $7,000 on FanDuel. Playing against the offensive juggernaut that is the Houston Rockets, Dejounte Murray will have to be at his best to keep the Spurs in this one. In a matchup against a turnover-prone Russell Westbrook, who averages 4.4 turnovers per game, expect Murray to collect a few steals coupled with being a double-double candidate. The Spurs come in as +425 underdogs with a 111.5 implied team total.

ShootingGuard – Donte DiVincenzo, Milwaukee Bucks ($4,000)

With Milwaukee Bucks point guard Eric Bledsoe already ruled out for their game versus the Dallas Mavericks tonight, replacement starter Donte DiVincenzo is one of the best value plays on the NBA slate at only $4,000 on FanDuel. DiVincenzo is an all-around offensive player that is knocking down shots at a 44.3% rate, including 35.3% from deep. He should see plenty of minutes whether Dallas finds a way to keep this game close or if it ends up being a blowout; DiVincenzo played more minutes than fellow starters Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton in Milwaukee’s blowout victory versus the Cleveland Cavaliers the other night. Milwaukee comes in as -750 favorites with a 119.5 implied team total.

SmallForward – Derrick Jones Jr., Miami Heat ($4,100)

With Justice Winslow and Goran Dragic ruled out for another game tonight, I expect the Miami Heat to continue to run an 8-man rotation. Averaging 28.2 minutes and 8.6/4.4/2/0.6/1.8 over his last five games, Derrick Jones Jr. has solidified his role off the Heat bench along with fellow guard Tyler Herro. In a pace up spot against the NBA’s fifth-fastest team, Derrick Jones Jr. will have ample opportunity to smash his price tag of $4,000 on FanDuel if the Heat choose to deploy a small lineup; Memphis is near the bottom of the NBA in turnover percentage which should result in DJJ picking up a few steals along the way.

PowerForward – Dario Saric, Phoenix Suns ($5,800)

With Devin Booker potentially ruled out for the Phoenix Suns, my exposure to this game shifts to Ricky Rubio and Dario Saric, with Portland stars Damian Lillard and Hassan Whiteside as my preferable targets to run it back in an NBA GPP game stack. With Frank Kaminsky having a terrifying matchup against Hassan Whiteside, I look for Rubio and Saric to carry the load for a Suns team with an implied team total of 114; Saric has the best imaginable matchup against Carmelo Anthony. Sporting a 17.41% usage rate on the season, I expect Saric to be much more involved tonight against the Trail Blazers with Booker nursing a forearm injury.

Center– Andre Drummond, Detroit Pistons ($10,000)

With Hassan Whiteside being my preferred play on DraftKings at a mere $8,100, he is priced up on FanDuel at $9,500. For only $500 more, you can get Andre Drummond versus a depleted Washington Wizards frontcourt that is allowing an average of 58.57 FanDuel points per game to opposing centers. Should he play after experiencing eye inflammation because of an allergic reaction, Washington offers a dream matchup to a traditional center like Drummond by being the worst rebounding team in the NBA. With Blake Griffin questionable with a sore knee, I expect Drummond to demolish his 10k price tag and I like this play, even more, should Griffin sit out.

Gamesto Target

  • Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons (229over/under)
  • San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets (232over/under)
  • Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns(227.5 over/under)
  • Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks (227.5over/under)
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