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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Ghouls 01/02/2020

This article discusses a core for DFS players to build around for today’s FanDuel NBA slate. While there are many different sports and various contests pertaining to DFS along with their respective strategies, we focus on the main approaches to build both reliable cash and GPP lineups for a successful NBA night including pace, the projected over/under, one on one matchups, and a team’s defensive rating. Make sure to stay active when building NBA lineups – if you cannot be in front of a computer, tablet, or on your phone an hour before lock do not throw your money away! NBA DFS lineups can change at the blink of an eye and are the most variable compared to any other sport in DFS; players get injured, some sit for load management, and others find themselves on the DNP list for other reasons; any of which can sway your lineup and where to find value. Stay alert on the WinDaily Discord chat to follow along with our updated plays. GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

PointGuard: Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks ($10,800)

The different value options across the entire NBA slate tonight allow us to pay up for my favorite play of the day in the Mavericks point guard. Luka Doncic has the third-highest usage rate on the season at 35.8% behind only James Harden (37%) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (36.7%). Doncic is in a great spot tonight versus a Brooklyn Nets team that allows the third-most FanDuel to opposing point guards at 49.83 per game. The All-NBA talent could be without teammate Kristaps Porzingis tonight who is listed as GTD and will be relied upon heavily in what should be a tighter game than expected; the Mavericks come in as -425 favorite with a 221 implied game total.

ShootingGuard: Devonte’ Graham, Charlotte Hornets ($7,700)

Just a few weeks ago, the Charlotte Hornets lost a tight game 100-98 versus these same Cleveland Cavaliers. With Cleveland coming in as -125 favorites in a game with a 212.5 over/under, the Hornets’ backcourt duo of Devonte’ Graham and Terry Rozier will be counted on to get a win for a slumping Charlotte squad. In their previous meeting this season, Graham posted 30.7 FanDuel points despite shooting 3-for-16 from the field. With his shot dropping tonight, look for Graham to take advantage of a Cavaliers team that allows an NBA-worst 52 FanDuel points per game to opposing primary ball handlers.

SmallForward: Alec Burks, Golden State Warriors ($5,600)

I ran Alec Bucks in my almost all my NBA lineups just a few days ago and tonight we’re going back to the well. The Warriors have already listed D’Angelo Russell as out with an illness and Burks should assume the role of the primary ball-handler for Golden State. With the Timberwolves playing at the fourth-fastest pace in the league and allowing nearly 50 FanDuel points per game to primary ball handlers, Burks should fill the box score and pick up a few steals along the way.

PowerForward: Marquese Chriss, Golden State Warriors ($4,300)

The Golden State Warriors will be without center Willie Cauley-Stein again tonight, resulting in Marquese Chriss getting the start. Over 34 games this season, Chriss has produced 1.11 NBA FanDuel points per minute, including 2.06 NBA FanDuel points per minute in the two games he started in. If Karl-Anthony Towns plays tonight, I would lower my expectations slightly and hedge this play with Christian Wood ($4,100) who should see a lot of run with Markieff Morris ruled out and Blake Griffin doubtful to play for the Detroit Pistons.

Center:Andre Drummond, Detroit Pistons ($9,800)

The one bright spot for a depleted Detroit Pistons team, Andre Drummond should feast on his matchup versus Ivica Zubac and Montrezl Harrell. In 5 games versus Zubac, Drummond averages 1.31 FanDuel points per minute and 1.48 FanDuel points per minute in 6 games versus Harrell. As long as Detroit does not sit their star big man should this game turn into a blowout quicker than anticipated, Drummond should be in for a big NBA DFS night.

Gamesto Target

  • Golden State Warriors vs MinnesotaTimberwolves (215 over/under)
  • Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets (221over/under)
  • Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Clippers(223.5 over/under)
  • Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings (224over/under)
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