Antonio D'Arcangelis In this column, I’ll highlight five NBA DFS 2/28 difference-makingplays in GPPs, from studs with a huge upside to value plays who could hit8x-10x.
These are risky plays who won’t always make the most sense forcash game builds, so buyer beware!
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NBA DFS 2/28 — PG
Trae Young, ATL (vs. BKN) – DK $10,500
There are a few question marks heading into tonight’s 10-game slate, and Young is currently listed as questionable with an illness – the same designation he had Wednesday when he dropped 62.5 DK points. We’re a couple of days removed and while I expect him to be the highest fantasy scorer of slate (if Giannis and/or Luka sits), be sure to check his status before lock. That said, the matchup is a solid one and this projects to be one of a few high-total games in the 230-240 range. We can run it back with Wednesday night DFS hero Caris LeVert (PG/SF/G/F/UTIL eligible on DK but a much better price as an SG on FanDuel) or Spencer Dinwiddie, who’s under $8K on DK but hasn’t had a big offensive explosion in a spell. If you’re pivoting from this game, there’s some value/upside in Mike Conley and solid PG options in the CLE@NO game (Collin Sexton/Lonzo Ball) – though I think that’s a much more effective game stack/pairing on FD.
Value Pivot/Stack: Mike Conley/Caris LeVert orSpencer Dinwiddie
NBA DFS 2/28 — SG
Devin Booker, PHO (vs. DET) – DK $7,900
Tenacious David Jones reminded us of the NBA Podcast that tonight is Booker Bobblehead Night in Phoenix, so we’ve got a perfect storm for a huge night from Devin the Dude: A fun narrative, a fast-paced game, and an affordable price tag. He’s got about a 70-point ceiling according to our NBA projections and he’ll be a staple of my GPP builds. Donovan Mitchell is a viable pivot, but his upside is limited compared to Booker, and PHO-DET game stackers can look no further than Derrick Rose, who’s projected for 5.5x value if he gets just 26 minutes. If D-Rose can somehow garner 30-35 minutes in this one, we could see easily 50+ DK points.
Pivot/Stack: Donovan Mitchell/DerrickRose
NBA DFS 2/28 — SF
Taurean Prince, BKN (@ ATL) – DK $4,700
We could see some more value options open up at SF as injury/rotation news develops during the day, but for now, I’m fearlessly forecasting a big game from Prince playing against his old team. Prince has a decent floor but his upside is usually capped by minutes in the mid-20s. He scored 21 FD points in 21 minutes against the Hawks earlier this season (even with no blocks or steals), and if he cracks 30 minutes and can get going from long range, he’s got 8x to 10x value and 40+ points in his headlights. If you tend to scoff at narratives, you can spend up to Brandon Ingram ($7,500), and game stackers might want to give Cam Reddish or Kevin Huerter a shot.
Spend Pivot/Stack: Brandon Ingram/Cam Reddish or Kevin Huerter
NBA DFS 2/28 — PF
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, TOR (vs. CHA) – DK $4,100
This is purely a value play and I’ll only be using RHJ (just $3,700 on FD) if he starts in place of Serge Ibaka (knee, questionable). Chris Boucher is the other Toronto value PF I’m examining, so it’ll probably be one or the other logging the increased minutes and taking advantage of this smash spot if Ibaka is out. Pascal Siakam could go off as well, but he’s $8,500 and this game features a relatively low total – so it’s hard for me to see him hitting his ceiling. One pivot that’s a little more expensive is Larry Nance, who should see bigger minutes with Andre Drummond out, but I have very little interest in the Charlotte bigs unless we get word that Cozy Zeller (healthy scratch DNP-CD on Wednesday) is starting since he’s just $4,100 and has 10x upside when he sees 30 minutes. If you have lots of salaries freed up for PF, then going back to the Aaron Gordon well could work out one again.
Spend/Pivot/Stack: Aaron Gordon/LarryNance/Cody Zeller (only if starting)
NBA DFS 2/28 — C
DeAndre Ayton, PHO (vs. DET) – DK $8,100
Ayton has a legitimate 8x upside in a smash spot against the Pistons and DK is offering a tempting discount on his services compared to FD ($9,000). If you’re squeamish about playing two studs from the Suns, you can pivot to Nikola Vucevic (but don’t use him at C if you’re playing Aaron Gordon). The obvious value option is Tristan Thompson, who regularly cranks out 30+ points when he starts or sees minutes in the 25-30 range. I wish we could exploit the plus matchup that the Nets bigs have against the Hawks, but the whole Jarrett Allen/DeAndre Jordan situation is just entirely too unpredictable unless one of them gets the night off. Allen does make for an interesting option in low-stakes large-field multi-entry GPPs though – at just $5,100 he’s got 9x upside if he plays 25-30 minutes.
