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NBA DFS 2/13: The Fearless Five

In this column, I’ll highlight five NBA DFS 2/13 difference-makingplays in GPPs, from studs with a huge upside to value plays who could hit8x-10x.

These are risky plays who won’t always make the most sense forcash game builds, so buyer beware! There are just two NBA games tonight, whichmeans we could focus on some of these plays for showdowns or for the main slateon DK. It’s not a night to heavily invest, because the big bankrolls will haveall the angles covered – so I recommend single-entry tournaments and low-stakes20-max games.

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NBA DFS 2/13 — PG

Chris Paul, OKC (@ NO) – DK $7,100

Paul has been playing well lately, and he’s been doing a lot of scoringfor the Thunder. He’ll be a chalk play tonight at PG, but we can differentiateelsewhere. We’ll have to keep an eye out for Boston backcourt injuries tonightto find some value, but Marcus Smart sticks out as a solid play against theClippers, and Lonzo Ball is fine to stack in a game with  225 total.

Pivot/Stack: Marcus Smart/Lonzo Ball

NBA DFS 2/13 — SG

J.J. Redick, NO (vs. OKC) – DK $4,400

He’s a great shooter with a quick release and he’s all over the floor. He’s probably been getting a little more than his normal run/usage with Brandon Ingram out, but I always like playing Redick in GPPs when he’s this cheap – there’s just a lot of stuff he can do. If you’re spending up and Ingram remains out, Jrue Holiday is a solid stud to roster, and Dennis Schroeder coming off the bench for OKC can score 25-30 real-life points in about that many minutes.

Pivot/Stack: Jrue Holiday/Dennis Schroeder

NBA DFS 2/13 — SF

Paul George, LAC (@ BOS) – DK $7,900

The price is under $8K and he saw 35 minutes in the last game. It’s a tough matchup on paper. Ingram is a fine play if he’s cleared for action, and while Jayson Tatum really struggled with his shot last game (5-for-15 from the field, 0-7 from 3PT range), he could be in for some high usage if Jaylen Brown (probable, ankle) sits or is limited because of his injury. George hasn’t posted any huge scoring game lately, but he’s been rebounding more and I think he’s in a decent spot unless he draws Marcus Smart defense. I’ll be using plenty of Kawhi Leonard as well, but he’s an obvious play here and we could differentiate ourselves if we fade him a few entries for low-stakes, multi-entry GPPs.

Pivots: Kawhi Leonard or Brandon Ingram/Jayson Tatum

NBA DFS 2/13 — PF

Zion Williamson, NO (vs. OKC) – DK $7,800

Zion had a breakthrough game, eclipsing 50 DK points for the first time on Tuesday night. If Ingram sits again, he’s worth another look. Combo guards and versatile bigs fare best against the Thunder, so this husky fellow is in a smash spot vs. the wispy PFs from OKC. Is there a chance they use Nerlens Noel at the 4 to try and stop Zion? It’s possible. If so, maybe we can spend down to Marcus Morris, who’s seeing plenty of run for the Clippers. Danilo Gallinari is still way too cheap and works for OKC-NO game stacks, especially considering how bad the Pels have defended versatile forwards like “Il Gallo.”

Value Pivot/Stack: Marcus Morris/Danilo Gallinari

NBA DFS 2/13 — C

Steven Adams, OKC (@ NO) – DK $5,300

Adams provides a 45-point DK upside at a reasonable price, and the matchup isn’t a bad one. Center is remarkably weak in this slate, with Zion being the only C-eligible player that’s more expensive than Adams. Don’t overthink this one. Plugin Adams at C and find some of the quirky plays in other spots. Both Montrez Harrell (limited minutes and upside lately) and Derrick Favors (same) make some sense as well – they just don’t have GPP-winning upside tonight like the guards and forwards do.

Pivot/Stack: Montrez Harrell/Derrick Favors

 

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