I will keep this short and sweet. If you have been following my run in Discord for the past 3 months of NFL and NBA prop betting you would have your next 10 years of membership paid in full. If you haven’t followed along today is a good day to start trailing some NBA Prop bets. Last night we went 1-1 from article bets but went 3-0 in live bets that were placed in our discord bringing us to another profitable.
The place I start my research process daily is reviewing the entire NBA Player Prop Model here. I will publish this after locking my first bet and will be adding more throughout the day if I find value elsewhere.
James Harden over 4.5 Rebounds -125 DraftKings
Harden has eclipsed 4.5 rebounds in 7 of the last 10 games and gets a dream matchup versus the Wizards. He will be abusing Poole and Jones all night and has a clear cut advantage offensively to do whatever he wants out there. Now when it comes rebounding, our model has him at 5.21 and with a 236 over/under there will be plenty of opportunities to grab boards. Washington for the most part plays small and Harden will be actively looking to rebound and run in this one. I have 1 unit on Harden tonight for that reason.
Wendell Carter Jr. over 18.5 Points + Rebounds -110 DraftKings
Our model has this number close to 24 and Wendell has blown through this number 5 of the last 8 games. When he’s cooking he could put up 35+ which he has recently as well. He gets a juicy matchup in a up paced game versus the Spurs. There should be plenty of rebounding and scoring opportunities in this one and I may even lean on a ladder bet as well to follow. Lay 1 unit on it now and check for a ladder later in discord.
Brook Lopez over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists -115 Bet365
Brook has crushed this number 9 out of the last 10 games. He is getting all the minutes and is truly playing the best ball of the season. Ayton is terrible defensively and so are the Blazers as a whole. The over is sitting at 237 which will put Brook at a spot to really blow through this number. My only concern is a terrible shooting night combined with a blowout. Hopefully we avoid that. If someone can find me an alternative line on this please hit me in discord as it has potential to ladder up.
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