I will keep this short and sweet. If you have been following my run in Discord for the past 3 months of NFL and NBA prop betting you would have your next 10 years of membership paid in full. If you haven’t followed along today is a good day to start trailing some NBA Prop bets.
Kevin Durant came through last night and almost got us to the top of the ladder but Malik Beasely decided to play a full compliment of starters minutes while not attempting a shot from the field which killed all his props.
The place I start my research process daily is reviewing the entire NBA Player Prop Model here. I will publish this after locking my first bet and will be adding more throughout the day if I find value elsewhere.
Bam Adebayo over 30.5 Points + Rebounds -105 DraftKings
Going back to Bam with Hartenstein doubtful and tough matchups for the rest of the heat offense. Bam is getting all the minutes and should have some more touches offensively here vs the backup to the backup Jericho Sims. The one clear advantage for the Heat is to feed Bam and to get him over his 30.5 which he has in 6 of the last 10 games.
Jonas Valanciunas over 20.5 Points + Rebounds -105 DraftKings
Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 19.5 points, 11.0 rebounds and 3.7 assists in 6 games versus Brook Lopez and Milwaukee in his career. He has also gone over this number in 8 of his last 10 games even with his minutes being limited as a starter. In a scenario tonight versus a rather big Milwaukee team I can see Jonas’s minutes get extended giving him a real opportunity to smash this over. For that reason I am willing to sprinkle a couple bucks on his alt line as well. So give me 1 unit at over 20.5 and then .5 units on 25+ at +195 on DraftKings as well.
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