I will keep this short and sweet. If you have been following my run in Discord for the past 3 months of NFL and NBA prop betting you would have your next 10 years of membership paid in full. If you haven’t followed along today is a good day to start trailing some NBA Prop bets.
We went 1-2 after some horrific shooting from Michael Porter and overall weak effort from Josh Giddey.
The place I start my research process daily is reviewing the entire NBA Player Prop Model here. I will publish this after locking my first bet and will be adding more throughout the day if I find value elsewhere.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 5.5 Assists -150 DraftKings
Shai has hit over 5.5 assists in 7 of the last 10 games and gets a juicy matchup versus the San Antonio Spurs. Shai is averaging 6.4 assists per game and the Spurs have allowed the second most assists per game to the Point Guard position over the past 15 games. Add in a nice over / under of 242 and we found our first bet of the day for 1 unit. Our prop model also has projected for 6.71 assists so get the line before it goes up.
Jordan Poole over 2.5 Assists -119 Caesars
I’m not a fan of Jordan Poole and his game. But I am a fan of of Ghost and his model. When his model has him at 3.7 and over 40% edge I just bet it and forget it.
Kyrie Irving over 4.5 Rebounds -130 FanDuel
Kyrie Irving has gone over his rebound number in 9 of his last 10 games and gets a matchup with his fried KD and the Phoenix Suns today. His number is 4.5 and he has gotten 5-9 rebounds in 9 of his last 10. Throwing 1 units on it on FD at -130.
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