Welcome to the NASCAR Futures for the 2024 season! This is my first time doing a NASCAR betting article, so please consider that. I have found that only DK Sportsbook and Caesars have win odds for the Cup Series, so those are the two books I will be referencing. At the end of the article, I will give a few Championship winner predictions.
Alex Bowman o0.5 Wins (-145 DK, -175 Caesars)
Bowman has only 7 career wins, but they have all come in the last 5 years. Last season was a rough one for Bowman and was the first time since 2018 that he didn’t win a race. Bowman was injured in a Sprint Car race which caused him to miss four weeks. Before the 2023 season, Bowman had won at least one race in four straight seasons. I see Bowman hitting his over pretty easily.
Brad Keselowski u0.5 Wins (+135 DK, +145 Caesars)
Keselowski was dominant from 2016-2020, winning 17 races over those five seasons and never won less than 3 in each season. Since then, Keselowski has only one win (2021 – Talladega) and just 18 top 5’s. Now, of course, Keselowski could luck into a win at a Superspeedway, but that’s why this is a plus-money bet. I will take my chances that the 6 car does not see Victory Lane in 2024 again.
Chase Elliott o2.5 Wins (+120 DK, +140 Caesars)
Before last season, Chase Elliott had only won less than 3 races once since 2018. Elliott is a perennial Cup favorite and should be in contention again. Between 2018 and 2022, Elliott won 18 races and if he didn’t miss 7 races due to injury in 2023, he surely would have won at least one race. I think the 9 team, and Hendrick Motorsports overall, has a bounce back 2024 and dominates with Elliott leading the way.
Ross Chastain u1.5 Wins (-105 DK, -115 Caesars)
Chastain has won 2 races in back-to-back seasons, so this one is pretty risky. The competition has improved in the Cup Series this season and I think Chastain, and Trackhouse, are taking a step back. Also, when you consider where the four races Chastain won were. Chastain won on a Superspeedway (Talladega), and a road course (COTA) which will be even more difficult to win as the field of great RC drivers improves. He also won the Phoenix Championship race in 2023 where only 4 drivers have anything to race for and on one oval (Nashville). All I’m saying is, there is a decent chance Chastain wins 1 or no races in 2024.
Christopher Bell o2.5 Wins (+100 DK, +115 Caesars)
Bell has a kind of up-and-down 2023, but he did win 2 races and make the Championship 4 and I think this team will take a giant step forward in 2024. Last season, Bell had 5 finishes of 2nd or 3rd which could have easily turned into another 1-2 wins In 2022, this team did win 3 races and a return to that is something I foresee happening in 2024.
NASCAR Cup Series Championship:
Tyler Reddick (+1600 DK, Caesars, & BetMGM, +1400 FanDuel)
Any driver listed at +1000 or lower is a great pick to win the Series title as well, but I wanted to find a kind of longshot driver who could win. Reddick is one the top drivers in the Cup Series and has been consistent the previous two seasons. Reddick has five wins, 20 top 5’s, and 31 top 10’s in 72 races. Last season, Reddick finished 6th in the standings, so a jump to the title is not that far of a leap.
NASCAR Xfinity Series Championship:
Sam Mayer (+500 Caesars & FanDuel, +525 BetMGM)
I’d like to give you someone with bigger odds, but the Xfinity Series is not that deep, so you have to make a bet like this on someone who actually has a chance. Mayer is that driver for me. In 2023, Mayer took huge steps forward winning for the first time (4 total wins) and was in the Championship 4 where he finished 5th in the race and 3rd in the standings.
Another driver who has a shot at the title is Sammy Smith (+1200 FD and BetMGM, +1300 Caesars). Smith will be taking over for Josh Berry in the #8 car for Jr. Motorsports and while it’s a real longshot, there is reason to consider Smith for the title in 2024.
NASCAR Truck Series Championship:
Nick Sanchez (+1000 DK & Bet MGM, +110 Caesars)
Despite not winning a race last season. Nick Sanchez finished 6th in the final standings and made the playoffs. Sanchez was a rookie last season, but still managed to have an outstanding season, albeit without some disappointment. Sanchez finished top 10 in over half of the Series’ races but could have had more and even had a few wins if not for some late-race incidents that seem to plague this series weekly. Any of the five drivers with better odds to win than Sanchez should be considered, but for my money, I will take the young and hungry kid in the #2 truck in 2024.
Thank you for checking out my betting article and look for all my rankings articles for the upcoming 2024 NASCAR season!