Matt Vecchio 
Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for the NASCAR Cup Series. Below you will find my rankings for the drivers in this race.
A Group: Drivers I will have the most exposure to and are high-priority
B Group: This group is drivers I feel have a high upside and are great filler pieces to pair with the A Group
C Group: The drivers in this tier are risky but could still be optimal. This group should be used in GPP’s
(Starting position in parenthesis)
Drivers in BOLD are potential dominators
(All pricing is for DK)
| A Group | B Group | C Group |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex Jr. (24) – $10K | Tyler Reddick (2) – $9.6K | William Byron (9) – $9.1K |
| Kyle Larson (4) – $10.7K | AJ Allmendinger (35) – $5.6K | John Hunter Nemechek (35) – $5.5K |
| Erik Jones (28) -$6.7K | Christopher Bell (3) – $9.8K | Chase Elliott (6) – $9.3K |
| Brad Keselowski (15) – $9K | Ricky Stenhouse (30) – $10.2K | Daniel Hemric (32) – $5.1K |
| Denny Hamlin (1) – $10.5K | Chris Buescher (18) – $8.6K | Todd Gilliland (20) – $6K |
| Alex Bowman (22) – $7.8K | Ryan Blaney (8) – $10.3K | Bubba Wallace (5) – $8.3K |
| Ty Gibbs (19) – $8.4K | Noah Gragson (25) -$6.8K | Cody Ware (36) – $5K |
Driver Notes:
- Martin Truex Jr. looked good in yesterday’s short practice session and he offers a lot of PD upside starting 24th. Since this is only a 200 laps race, we aren’t chasing multiple dominators and MTJ makes for a great play to pair with one of Hamlin or Larson.
- Even though he is in lesser equipment and isn’t having a great season, Erik Jones does perform well on intermediate tracks. I see Jones as a high-teens car today and his ownership isn’t astronomical (only around 20%)
- Brad Keselowski ranks 3rd behind only Larson and Hamlin in avg finish this season on intermediate tracks. Keselowski has top 5 upside today so he offers good value for his price.
- AJ Allmendinger is a good value play today and does carry similar ownership to Jones. I prefer Jones over Dinger, but if you need two cheap plays they are good value together for SE or cash. If you are playing GPP only, I would pivot off Allmendinger to John Hunter Nemechek. JHN will be about 10-12% lower owned than Allmendinger, starts in a similar position, and is $100 cheaper.
- Chris Buescher won this race last season and should compete for the win again today. I don’t think this team can get to victory lane, but a solid top 10 or top 5 finish will be great for DFS. Because of the success Ford has had here recently as well as his win last year, Buescher will carry ownership today, around 25%.
- Both Daniel Hemric and Cody Ware are scary plays, but we need to be different in GPPs if we want takedowns. They are the two cheapest drivers and allow you to build any combo of high-priced drivers you want.
NASCAR Best Bets:
(best odds and site in parenthesis)
Kyle Larson (+600 – FD)
Martin Truex (+600 – DK/FD)
Christopher Bell (+1300 – DK)
Brad Keselowski Top 5 (+135 – FD)
Alex Bowman Top 10 (+165 – DK)
Longshot To Win:
Ty Gibbs (+2800 – DK)
Matchups:
(All bets are from DK)
Austin Dillon vs Carson Hocevar (-105)
Group 2 Winner – Brad Keselowski (+245)
