Matt Vecchio 
Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for the NASCAR Cup Series. Below you will find my rankings for the drivers in this race.
A Group: Drivers I will have the most exposure to and are high-priority
B Group: This group is drivers I feel have a high upside and are great filler pieces to pair with the A Group
C Group: The drivers in this tier are risky but could still be optimal. This group should be used in GPP’s
(Starting position in parenthesis)
Drivers in BOLD are potential dominators
(All pricing is for DK)
| A Group | B Group | C Group |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick (1) – $8.8K | Christopher Bell (18) – $9.5K | William Byron (4) – $9K |
| Brad Keselowski (26) – $9.3K | Austin Cindric (38) – $7.6K | Chase Elliott (3) – $9.7K |
| Denny Hamlin (2) – $10.5K | Ross Chastain (28) – $8.1K | Erik Jones (29) – $7.3K |
| Chris Buescher (23) – $8.5K | Kyle Busch (34) – $8K | Todd Gilliland (24) -$6.5K |
| Justin Haley (35) – $6.2K | Ryan Blaney (7) – $10K | Alex Bowman (13) – $8.2K |
| Kyle Larson (5) – $10.3K | Josh Berry (37) – $7.5K | Daniel Suarez (25) – $7.4K |
| Carson Hocevar (30) – $6.8K | Bubba Wallace (17) – $7.8K | Daniel Hemric (32) – $5.4K |
Driver Notes:
- Tyler Reddick dominated everything on Friday and Saturday. Reddick was fastest in all but one practice metric (Larson was fastest in 15 lap avg) and he was the best car in qualifying on Saturday. When you add the speed we saw so far with the price point, it’s no wonder Reddick is my top play on this slate.
- I don’t know what happened in qualifying, but Brad Keselowski was top 5 in both 5 and 10-lap avg in Friday’s practice session, so the speed is there. I expect him and teammate Chris Buescher to have great races on Sunday, but it does come with high ownership. Buyer beware.
- Pricing is soft this week on DK, but if you’re like me and want to pay up for Reddick and two $9.7K and up drivers, you will need some cheap options. That’s where Justin Haley and Carson Hocevar come in. Both have top 20 upside for super cheap prices with great PD upside. They will be a little chalky, which I don’t mind when it’s good chalk like Haley and Hocevar (both drivers project between 17 and 25%).
- All four of Kyle Busch, Austin Cindric, Josh Berry, and Ross Chastain will be carrying high ownership on Sunday (25%+ on all 4) so if you want to play chalky Reddick/Hamlin/Keselowski, we need drivers to get off the “bad” chalk. This is why I like Alex Bowman, Erik Jones, and Daniel Suarez, with Jones projecting to be the highest owned at just under 15%. All three are similarly priced to the 4 higher-owned plays and could make your lineups different enough to get you that solo takedown.
NASCAR Best Bets:
(best odds and site in parenthesis)
Tyler Reddick (+425 – Caesars)
Denny Hamlin (+500 – FD)
Chase Elliott (+800 – FD)
Brad Keselowski Top 5 (+195 – FD)
Austin Dillon Top 10 (+750 – FD)
Chris Buescher – Top Ford (+500 – DK)
Longshot To Win:
Chris Buescher (+3000 – FD)
Matchups:
(All bets are from DK)
Chase Elliott (+140) vs Tyler Reddick
Bubba Wallace (-125) vs Michael McDowell
Ty Gibbs vs Chris Buescher (+100)
