NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series from Las Vegas 9/27/20

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Sunday night’s NASCAR Cup Series race from Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Sunday’s race from Vegas is a 400 mile race which means we have 267 laps to pick up dominator points. Earlier in the season we saw Kevin Harvick ($11,700) and Chase Elliott ($9,700) lead the majority of laps, leading 162 laps combined. Joey Logano ($10,300) won the Spring race here and led 54 laps.

NASCAR DF : Dominators

As he is every week, Kevin Harvick ($11,7000) is in play, but I will not be looking to him as a top play this week. Could he dominate this race and win it from the pole, yes. Could he lead 70-80 laps and finish 8th like he did earlier this season, also yes. I would much rather save between $300-$700 and go for the place differential upside with Brad Keselowski ($11,400) starting 12th or Denny Hamlin ($11,000) who will start 10th. Keselowski hasn’t finished lower than 7th in his last 10 races here at Las Vegas. Hamlin hasn’t had great results here in Vegas, but I think Hamlin will improve on his recent results and come home top 10.

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,600)

Starting Position: 11th

Truex also offers some really good upside in this tier starting in the 11th position. Since 2107 (6 races), Truex has two wins at Las Vegas, and he also has four top 5’s and five top 10’s. I really think Truex has a shot at winning this race and will most likely get towards the front of the field pretty early in this race and challenge the 4 of Harvick or the 9 of Elliot.

Other Options: Chase Elliott ($9,700), Joey Logano ($10,300)

NASCAR DFS : Mid Tier

William Byron ($9,400)

Starting Position: 28th

Byron doesn’t have great track history here at LVMS, but with him starting 28th it makes him a really solid upside play. His price is ridiculously high, but I think he can make value and I also think he will be incredibly low owned because of this.

Matt DiBenedetto ($7,900)

Starting Position: 19th

Matty D is another driver with nothing to drive for except pride. DiBenedetto had his career best finish at Vegas earlier this season when he finished 2nd. Similarly to Byron again, DiBenedetto offers up some good upside in this race and another top 10 for him here is possible.

Ricky Stenhouse ($7,800)

Starting Position: 33rd

Like with all three races this weekend, dominator points are at a premium, so I am focusing on place differential plays, and Stenhouse is another solid one. Stenhouse finished 3rd here after starting 26th, but not only did he have a great PD day, Stenhouse also led 30 laps. Over the last three races at Las Vegas Stenhouse owns a 3rd place finish and a 6th place finish.

Other Options: Jimmie Johnson ($8,900), Erik Jones ($8,500), Austin Dillon ($7,600)

NASCAR DFS : Value Tier Rankings

1. Cole Custer – $6,600 – P22
2. Daniel Suarez – $5,700 – P29
3. Alex Bowman – $7,300 – P8 – GPP only
4. Ryan Newman – $7,400 – P24
5. Tyler Reddick – $6,900 – P14
6. Ty Dillon – $5,900 – P24
7. Ryan Preece – $5,600 – P21
8. Gray Gaulding – $5,000 – P30
9. JH Nemechek – $6,400 – P25

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