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Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Thursday night’s race from Kansas Speedway, the Super Start Batteries 400 with the green flag scheduled to drop at 7:48 pm EDT on NBCSN. Kansas is another 1.5-mile track that runs similar to Vegas, Homestead, and Charlotte. We have 267 laps here at Kansas Speedway giving us 200.25 dominator points available for us to earn.
Last season we saw Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin go to victory lane here and both will look to get back there again. We have had 7 races on 1.5-mile tracks this season and oddly enough, 7 different winners. Will we get the first 2 time winner on Thursday? I think we will. Kevin Harvick ($11,500) is my pick to win this race from the pole on Thursday night.
NASCAR DFS: Dominators
Kevin Harvick ($11,500)
Starting Position: 1st
Kevin Harvick is the odds on favorite to win this race (4/1) and he is also my pick. He has been dominant on 1.5-mile tracks this season with a win and six top 10’s in 7 races. Harvick has also led the most laps with 357, almost 100 more than the next best driver (Ryan Blaney – 261). Even if Harvick doesn’t win this race, a top 5 is almost a certainty, and with him on the pole and having clean air to start the race he should lead the bulk of the beginning of this race.
Martin Truex Jr. ($10,600)
Starting Position: 5th
Truex has been excellent at Kansas Speedway over the past three seasons. In 6 races, Truex has racked up 2 wins (swept both races in 2017), and five finishes of 6th or better. Truex had some bad luck in two of the last three races getting caught up in wrecks but sandwiched between the wrecks at Indianapolis and Texas, he had a second-place finish at Kentucky.
Ryan Blaney ($9,900)
Starting Position: 4th
If it wasn’t for Harvick, Blaney might be the best driver at 1.5-mile tracks this season. In seven races in 2020 Blaney has led the second-most laps at 1.5-mile tracks as I mentioned in my Harvick breakdown. Blaney has the best average finish at these tracks (5.4) as well but hasn’t won on a 1.5-mile yet this season. I know I said I think Harvick wins on Thursday, but if the 4 doesn’t go to victory lane, the Penske Ford #12 and Ryan Blaney will.
Other Options: Chase Elliott ($11,000 – P11 – PD play and needs to win to make value), Denny Hamlin ($10,200 – P10), Brad Keselowski ($9,500 – P7)
NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier
Erik Jones ($9,100)
Starting Position: 21st
I know Jones has been a thorn in our side all season, but he came through last week and was in most winning lineups on Sunday. Jones’ price is high this week, but I think he pays it off again Thursday night. In his 4 races at Kansas as a full-time Joe Gibbs driver, Jones hasn’t finished lower than 7th and has two top 5 finishes as well.
Tyler Reddick ($8,300)
Starting Position: 23rd
This is a great track for Reddick with the high line here that allows you to run nearly up against the wall. Reddick is one of the best in the series at doing this and should be able to run extremely well here because of this. At similar tracks this season, Reddick has two top 5’s and four 10’s with an average finish of 10.3.
Christopher Bell ($8,100)
Starting Position: 22nd
I know a lot of people are not going to like this pick and will think I am crazy for writing Bell up here, but I think we can take advantage of lower ownership. Bell has had some success at 1.5-mile tracks this season with three top 10 finishes, and an average finish of 16.7. If Bell finishes in his average 16th place we get him at 4.1x value without any dominator points, it won’t take much more to get him to 5x (which is the goal for every driver we roster)
Other Options: Aric Almirola ($8,700), Matt DiBenedetto ($7,700), Clint Bowyer ($7,500)
Value Tier Rankings:
My top overall value play is undoubtedly going to be the chalkiest play on this entire slate, but it will be difficult to fade him. Ty Dillon ($6,500) starts 36th and has an average finish of 24.3 in 1.5-mile tracks in 2020. Another of my favorite value plays is Ricky Stenhouse ($7,000). Stenhouse has two top 5’s at 1.5-mile tracks this season and an average finish of 18.7. I do not like this next pick but it’s hard to deny he has been very useful in NASCAR DFS of late. Daniel Suarez ($6,100) has an average finish of 25.1 in his last 6 point races and has not finished lower than 28th.
- Ty Dillon – $6,500 – P36
- Ricky Stenhouse – $7,000 – P25
- Daniel Suarez – $6,100 – P37
- Michael McDowell – $6,200 – P27
- Austin Dillon – $7,200 – P16
- Cole Custer – $7,400 – P24
- Corey Lajoie – $5,700 – P31
Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/23/20 from Kansas Speedway! Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!
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