Joel Bartilotta 
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Today I’ll be highlighting some of my favorite plays on Monkey Knife Fight. Even though Covid has run rampant in the NFL, we still have an action packed Sunday with some solid plays.
More or Less 3.6x Payout
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott vs. New York Giants (269.5 Passing Yards) – More
If you read my QB’s and Stacks article this week, you know that I love Dak Prescott this week. He’s coming off a subpar game against Washington in which threw for only 211 yards. Dallas should come out firing today against a Giants team that has been absolutely brutal against the pass this year. The Giants have given up at least 270 passing yards in 4 of their last 6 games. One of the games they didn’t was against a team that runs a run heavy offense.
Prescott faced the Giants in Week 5 and threw for 302 yards with 3 touchdowns. I see no reason why he shouldn’t replicate that feat. I’m siding with the More side of the 269.5 yards that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today.
Mike Glennon vs. Dallas Cowboys (185.5 Passing Yards) – More
This one gets a little trickier as Mike Glennon just hasn’t played much. I’m going to go w/ more game theory in this pick though because this is a game that should get out of hand pretty early. I expect the Cowboys to get up early in this one. Probably after their first possession. With my expectation that the Cowboys will be up early and often in this one the Giants will have to play through the air today in an effort to catch up.
With that, Glennon should get a ton of passing volume today. He has only 2 starts this year at QB but in both games he hit his number that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us. The Cowboys have given up at least 200 yards in all but 2 games this season. That continues today as Glennon gets over the 200 yards mark. I’m also going with the More side on this one.
More or Less 3x Payout
Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers vs. Baltimore Ravens (265.5 Passing Yards) – More
Similar to Prescott, Aaron Rodgers is one of my favorite QB’s this week. He’s going into a matchup against a depleted Ravens secondary. Even with a healthy secondary, the Ravens have given up the second most passing yards on the year. Only the Seahawks have given up more passing yards.
Rodgers is coming into this one in peak form, throwing for at least 292 yards in 4 straight games. Monkey Knife Fight has the number set at 265.5 yards, a number that Rodgers has failed to get just twice in the last 8 weeks. I just don’t see how he doesn’t easily get to this number today. I’m going with the More side on this too.
Devonta Freeman vs. Green Bay Packers (52.5 Rushing Yards) – Less
This is going to be a weird week for the Baltimore Ravens. Lamar Jackson hasn’t been ruled out just yet, but he also hasn’t practiced all week. Should he miss this week, the Ravens game plan will be a different one than we’ve been accustomed to. Although Huntley filled in admirably last weekend, he’s still not in the same category as Jackson.
Regardless, I just don’t see Freeman getting to the 52.5 target that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today. On the year it’s a number that Freeman has only gotten to twice. Once last week against the Browns and then also in week 9 vs. the Vikings. The Packers have one of the best run defenses in the league. Only 6 teams have given up fewer rushing yards to running backs all year. They should have no trouble keeping Freeman in check today. On this one, I’m going with the Less side.
Good luck and hope you cash!
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