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Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Edition 11.7

David Stowe
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It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone, all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more

Quick Note: One thing that you will see is that I will try to stay away from high risk plays. Everyone loves the big win but the goal here is steady growth over the long term. It’s ok to take the occasional shot whenever it makes sense but that should not be your standard “go to” if you want to continue to grow your bankroll.

We actually get to have a little bit of fun this week attacking overs. Going after the unders last week ended up being a pretty decent strategy and our ROI ended up being 50% if you played1 unit across the board. For whatever reason the Browns decided that they didn’t want to run the ball against one of the weakest run defenses in the league in a snowstorm with wind in excess of 35 MPH or else we would have hit our 5 player prop with a 20x payout. But such is life.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Edition 11.7

Chicago at Tennessee More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x Payout

I’m not one to take overs when it comes to Nick Foles but there are a couple of things that lead me to go that way today. First, all of the various sportsbook pages have his line set around 270 which tells me this is an error at 255.5. Next, the Titans are 6.5 point favorites so I expect the Bears to be throwing a lot in the second half. Finally, and it’s more of a psychological thing for me, Mitch Trubisky isn’t sitting on the bench with Nagy coaching waiting on to put him in if Foles throws a couple of early picks. A.J. Brown is pretty simple. The Bears play sides so I’m not worried about Fuller being matched up on him. He’ll be matched up against Jaylon Johnson or Buster Skrine which means wheel up on 64.5 receiving yards.

Baltimore at Indianapolis More or Less: 3.5x Payout

This seems like a mismatch both ways. With no Mark Ingram, a pass funnel defense, and the second highest expected total on the day 215.5 seems way too low. Lamar Jackson hasn’t been the best in terms of airing it out this season but John Harbaugh challenged Jackson in the media this week to tighten his game up and a expect him to respond. Phillip Rivers on the other hand has a noodle arm, against one of the best secondary’s in the league, with no T.Y. Hilton. 258.5 seems like a number he’s going to have a hard time reaching.

Detroit at Minnesota Rapidfire (2 of 3): 1.5x payout

For some reason MKF doesn’t have a ton of pick 3 of 4 options and I wanted to give us something a little easier to go at Sunday so this rapidfire for 1.5x return is where we will target. I was interested to see two things when it comes to Chase Daniels. First, he has a career 68.3% completions percentage and second, his average pass depth is 6.9 yards per attempt. I’ll give you one guess as to what T.J. Hockenson’s average depth of target is? It’s 6.8 yards compared to Danny Amendola’s 10.6. So it looks like he slides right into Chase’s comfort zone and 68.5 bonus yards is too much against a Vikings team who will look to run the Lions into the ground tomorrow. Justin Jefferson’s explosive ability will likely be used during play action passing when the Vikings choose to air it on the rare occasion and when lined up against Jeff Okudah there will be a clear and obvious mismatch to exploit.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x Payout

Tom Brady with a full allotment of weapons to include a motivated Antonio Brown is an incredibly dangerous thing, add the fact that they looked like crap against the Giants and I have an expectation that they are going to try and run the score up to prove a point so I’m expecting Touchdown Tommy to put up a massive number tomorrow. Drew Brees I have a legitimate concern over. Reports came out this week that he has a problem in his throwing shoulder. Combine that with his struggles pushing the ball down field when he is healthy and I see one of two scenarios tommorrow. The Saints lean hard on Latavius Murray and Alvin Kamara or, and I can’t believe I’m saying this, they use Bree’s ailing shoulder as a reason to roll out Jameis Winston to see if they can get some kind of vertical threat in their passing game. I love everything that Drew Brees has done for the NFL but father time is catching up to him in a hurry and we may be reaching a point where the catastrophic shoulder injury that ended up bringing Brees to New Orleans in the first place starts to cause lingering issues towards the tail end of his career.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Edition 11.7. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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NFL, MLB, and Prop content creator for Win Daily Sports since early 2020. Active Army Veteran 2002-2010. 18 years as an Aerospace Structures R&D Technician (If you've flown, my hands have likely been on it). Small Business Owner. Animal Rescue Volunteer. Foster Parent. I study way to much film to not be a football coach somewhere but I still can use it to teach you all Fantasy Sports.

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