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Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL MNF Edition 11.23

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Quick Note: One thing that you will see is that I will try to stay away from high risk plays. Everyone loves the big win but the goal here is steady growth over the long term. It’s ok to take the occasional shot whenever it makes sense but that should not be your standard “go to” if you want to continue to grow your bankroll.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL MNF Edition 11.23:

I’m not going to have a full allotment of plays tonight but I’d look to lean unders in the passing game if you see something I didn’t touch on. I’ve found that we have some inefficiencies when I try to fit too many plays on a single game slate so we’re staying simple. I want to build on our nice 3-1 day yesterday.

More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x return

I don’t like sitting here leading in with unders right off of the jump but both Tom Brady and Jared Goff have shown flaws when it comes to defenses that rush the quarterback effectively and not only to the Rams and Buccaneers do that extremely well being 3rd and 5th in sacks respectively they also have strong secondary units capable of staying with top tier receivers in one on one coverage. Rams have Jalen Ramsey, Darious Williams, and Troy Hill to match Tampa’s great WR group while Jamel Dean, Carlton Davis, and Sean Murphy-Bunting are going toe to toe with the Rams WR unit. Add that to pash rush from Aaron Donald for the Rams and an always interesting revenge narrative from one of the meanest guys in the leagues in Ndamukong Suh and the west coast team traveling east narrative this might not be the most fun game for fans of offensive production.

More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x return

Same deal with Goff, no need to explain twice. Ronald Jones is really the only offensive weapon I have any amount of confidence in. My DFS lineups are going to be ugly in that regard but the Rams do have one flaw defensively and that’s one the ground. They’ve given up over 100 yards in 6 of 9 games (nice) on the ground including 96 to Zeke Elliot, 95 to Miles Sanders, 71 to Devin Singletary, and a combined 90 yards between Daniel Jones and Wayne Gallman. We always need to worry about Bruce Arians randomly benching Jones because for whatever goofy reason he hold Rojo to a different standard than the rest of the team but if he gets 12-15 carries he should be able to reach the over 60.5.

More or Less (2 of 3): 1.8x return

Tom Brady and Jared Goff have been covered above. I don’t like and overs for yardage props for any receivers but if Goff gets rushed in the pocket enough and starts speeding up his internal clock Sean McVay is going to come out in the second half of the game and simplify all of the route concepts. Goff will be left with no more than two reads and a dump off option in passing situations. During those times Goff and McVay lean on Cooper Kupp as his quick passing option so I see plenty of catches but I think the yards will be minimal.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL MNF Edition 11.23. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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