Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Edition 11.14

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone, all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more

Quick Note: One thing that you will see is that I will try to stay away from high risk plays. Everyone loves the big win but the goal here is steady growth over the long term. It’s ok to take the occasional shot whenever it makes sense but that should not be your standard “go to” if you want to continue to grow your bankroll. I will however give you a completely optional play that you can attack every week. We were 20 yards by Kareem Hunt away from hitting a 6 man prop play for 20x return against Vegas but it just didn’t come to pass. You would think they Clevand would attempt more than 14 rushs with Hunt in heavy wind and a Baker Mayfield with bruised ribs. Oh, and speaking of that this week.

We had a measure of success attacking the heavy wind games on MKF two weeks ago and with the forecast in a couple of these games forecasting 25+ MPH sustained with gusts in excess of 50 MPH we are going right back to the well.

Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns:

Rapid fire (2 of 2): 3.5x return

My take on this one is pretty straight forward. I don’t expect the Browns to make the same mistake they did with Vegas and the wind conditions are going to be nearly identical with sustained winds well over 25MPH. I’m not really worried about **Baker Mayfield** getting 40 bonus yards on **Deshaun Watson** for one reason. The Browns have the ability to run when they need to and the Texans can’t stop it. So give me Watson for all the monies. I am taking **Brandon Cooks** over **Will Fuller** because Cooks is seeing no less than nine targets a game in the last four weeks at an average depth of target nearly three yards closer (I take zero stock in any numbers accrued during the B.O.B. era) and we heard the rumblings of a deal at the trade deadline for Fuller and I seen one thing with Houston, where you see smoke there is almost certainly fire. There is a strain in that relationship that we do not see as spectators and the Texan appear ready to deal him this offseason to recover picks that they need to be competitive. I don’t know how folks will profile this game from a prop perspective but I’d take the Browns to win pretty handily due to the rushing struggles of Houston. Are the Browns smart enough to take advantage is the question.

More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x return

I love attacking weather. **Baker Mayfield** threw for a whopping 122 yards against Vegas in week 8 in similar conditions. The **Deshaun Watson** under will be tight simply because I think they will utilize the short passing game to compensate for the lack of a run game but I still think under is relatively safe. If you want to play it smart you can take both sides of Watson and take the money to the bank.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers

More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x

You mean to tell me we are getting two of worst run defenses in the NFL in a game with the same garbage weather that they are projecting in Cleveland, a healthy Green Bay running attack, and a rookie going into just his second start against one of the heaviest blitzing defenses in the league and you are giving me 245.5 (remember Watson is 255.5) for Jake Luton and and **Aaron Rodgers** has only cleared this number in half of his starts and I expect a heavy dose of Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams Sunday. He may throw 4 td’s because that’s just his style but they will be of the red zone variety. Possibly one of those 20-24 240 yards and 4 td’s high efficiency games that were his trademark in his prime Rodgers days.

More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x return

Same deal, 245.5 on Jake Luton with high wind in only his second start and he’s only getting 10 yards less than Deshaun Watson????? UNDER. **Aaron Jones** is healthy and while his volume will have you pulling your hair out he does a lot with his 15 carries a game. This number would scare me a little more if it was a typical game but Lafluer has to get him more work in a game where it should stay on the ground, shouldn’t he? if he gets 18 carries as apposed to his 14-15 carry volume against this run defense I think he breaks 100 on the ground

High Risk Play (completely optional)

More or Less (5 of 5) Early Games: 20x return

**Tom Brady is petty**, Antonio Brown should see a full allotment of snaps and we know he loves him some him, Godwin’s finger is a week better and Brady usually comes out to prove a point when he gets smacked around. Perfect storm of petty is ready to unload in Charlotte. We already discussed the Packers, and **Terry McLaurin** is possibly the most underrated receiver in the NFL against a horrible Lions secondary in what I think will be the official welcome back game for Alex Smith (love to see it). Terry is getting peppered with targets.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Edition 11.14. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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